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Pro League

Al Ittihad - Al-Fayha

09/08/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Al Ittihad
1.7
Total xG
3.3
Al-Fayha
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
What influences the xG?
AIAL-

Al Ittihad

Attack strength (1.44x league average)
+0.73
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
-0.47
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.06
Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.01
Strong home record (2.2 vs 1.6 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Al-Fayha

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.19
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.14
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Ittihad: first goal in 7 of 10 games (70%)

  • 2
    Al-Fayha: opponent scores first in 7 of 10 games (70%)

  • 3
    Al Ittihad: 40% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 15)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

26%

Away Win

35%

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

65%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

66%

No

34%

Key Factors
  • Form and momentum: Al Ittihad are unbeaten in 5 matches (DWWDW), while Al-Fayha are winless in 5 matches (LLLDD)
  • Tactical metric: Al Ittihad averaged 4.6 shots on target per match in recent games
  • High-scoring venue: The Alinma Stadium has a high-scoring history with an average of 3.4 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • High workload: Al Ittihad have a shorter recovery time with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Away defensive issues: Al-Fayha concede a worrying average of 2.12 goals per away match
Overview

Al Ittihad host Al-Fayha at the Alinma Stadium

Pro League match on September 8, 2026, 8:00 PM

Al Ittihad are in 5th place with 11 points, while Al-Fayha occupy 11th place with 5 points

The hosts aim to keep up with the top teams

Form

Al Ittihad are unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of DWWDW

The home side recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their recent matches

Al-Fayha are winless in 5 matches with a form of LLLDD

The visitors managed to secure two consecutive draws recently

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Al Ittihad score consistently, averaging 1.62 goals per season game and 1.75 in recent matches

The hosts' defense concedes 1.41 goals on average this season, but was tighter recently with just 1.00 conceded per game

Al-Fayha's goal production is stalling, averaging 0.75 goals recently compared to a season average of 1.21

On the road, Al-Fayha concede a worrying average of 2.12 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the two teams

Al Ittihad lead the record with 2 wins, while Al-Fayha have not won any match

Additionally, 2 encounters ended in a draw

The last meeting on February 13, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Al Ittihad

Key Players

Steven Bergwijn has already scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 5 appearances with a 7.30 rating

George Ilenikhena also scored 3 times in 4 matches with a 7.19 rating

Houssem Aouar contributed 2 assists in 5 games with a 7.03 rating

Fashion Sakala leads the visitors with 13 goals and 5 assists in 29 matches with a 7.02 rating

Jason stands out with 5 goals and 8 assists in 34 season appearances with a 7.01 rating

Alfa Semedo solidifies the midfield with 4 goals and 3 assists in 31 games with a 6.91 rating

Goalkeepers

Mohammed Al-Absi starts in goal for Al Ittihad, but has not made any appearances this season

On the other side, Orlando Mosquera guards the goal for Al-Fayha, having already played 32 matches this season

Al Ittihad secured a total of 9 clean sheets this season, with 6 achieved in their home stadium

Al-Fayha kept 7 clean sheets in the current campaign, but only one of them came in an away match

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Alinma Stadium

Stadium statistics show a high-scoring history with an average of 3.4 goals per game

In 80% of the matches played at this venue, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

Al Ittihad concede an average of 1.50 goals at home, while Al-Fayha allow 2.12 goals per game on the road

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