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Pro League

Al Hilal - NEOM SC

09/07/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Al Hilal
1.6
Total xG
2.4
NEOM SC
0.8
Most Likely Scores

1:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
AHNS

Al Hilal

Defensive strength (0.8 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.69
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 2 vs 8, 6 places gap)
+0.05
Attack strength (1.34x league average)
-0.01
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.8 goals/match)
+0.01
Sultan Mandash on the bench (4 goals, 2 assists)
Theo HernƔndez not in squad (5 goals, 1 assists)
27% of goal output missing (only 77% available)

NEOM SC

Standings disadvantage (pos 8 vs 2, 6 places gap)
-0.05
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.03
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.02
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.37
+0.37
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Hilal: first goal in 10 of 11 games (91%)

  • 2
    Al Hilal: 9 wins in 11 games with xG above 1.0 (82% win rate)

  • 3
    NEOM SC: 67% of all goals in the first half (10 of 15, last 11 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

28%

Away Win

17%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

83%

Away or Draw

45%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

45%

No

55%

Key Factors
  • Absolute dominance: Table leaders Al Hilal have a flawless form of 5 consecutive wins
  • Offensive class: Al Hilal score an average of 2.5 goals per game and are predicted to score 1.62 goals in this match
  • Tactical advantage: Al Hilal averaged 7.2 shots on target per match in recent games
Risk Factors
  • Rest days: Al Hilal with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited data quality regarding weather conditions
Overview

Al Hilal host NEOM SC in the Pro League

Match on September 7, 2026, 8:00 PM at the Kingdom Arena

Table leaders Al Hilal with 15 points face seventh-placed NEOM SC with 9 points

The hosts go into this match as clear favorites

Form

Al Hilal are in outstanding form with a perfect run of 5 wins

Al Hilal form: WWWWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

NEOM SC has a balanced record with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

NEOM SC form: DWLLW

Statistics

Al Hilal score an average of 2.5 goals per match while conceding only 0.79

At home, their goal output rises to 2.56 goals per game

NEOM SC score an average of 1.26 goals and concede 1.41

Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 1.33 goals per match

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches between these teams so far

Al Hilal managed to win both matches

The goal ratio stands at 4:1 for the home side

The last meeting ended in a 2:0 victory for Al Hilal

Key Players

RĆŗben Neves pulls the strings in midfield with 11 goals and 7 assists

Sergej Milinkovic-Savic impresses with 8 league goals and outstanding form

For NEOM SC, Alexandre Lacazette leads the attack with 11 season goals

Not included in the Al Hilal squad are Sultan Mandash and Theo HernƔndez

Goalkeepers

Yassine Bounou has started in 26 games in goal this season

He recorded an average rating of 6.85

Marcin Bulka has an average rating of 7.19 in 6 appearances for NEOM SC

Influences

The match is played on grass at the Kingdom Arena

Al Hilal benefit from home strength with an average of only 0.69 conceded goals

Historically, the Kingdom Arena averages 3.2 goals per game

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