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Pro League

Al Hazm - Al Taawoun

09/08/2026, 03:55 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Hazm
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Al Taawoun
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
AHAT

Al Hazm

Attack strength (1.3x league average)
+0.57
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.16
Rising form (1.8 vs 1.3 season average)
+0.16
Fábio Martins not in squad (5 goals, 4 assists)
50% of goal output missing (only 54% available)

Al Taawoun

Attack weakness (0.66x league average)
-0.46
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.38
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.34
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Abderrazak Hamdallah on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
66% of goal output missing (only 43% available)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.7 goals/match)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Hazm: 7 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 11 games (7 of 16 total)

  • 2
    Al Taawoun: dropped a lead in 3 of 5 games (7 points lost)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Goals

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

52%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Only 54% of goal threat available, without Fábio Martins
  • Only 43% of goal threat available, without Abderrazak Hamdallah
  • Al Hazm averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Al Taawoun with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Al Taawoun conceding an average of 2.5 goals in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
Overview

Al Hazm hosts Al Taawoun at the Ar-Rass Stadium

Match on September 8, 2026, 5:55 PM

Al Hazm is in 10th place with 5 points

Al Taawoun is in 14th place with 3 points

Form

Al Hazm's form is WWWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently

Al Taawoun's form is DLDLD

The visitors registered 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

Statistics

Al Hazm scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 1.68 per season

In home games, Al Hazm averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded

Al Taawoun averages 1.74 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded

Away from home, the visitors score an average of 1.76 goals and concede 1.29

Head-to-Head

There have been 2 head-to-head matches so far

Al Hazm achieved 1 win, Al Taawoun won 0 times with 1 draw

The last direct encounter ended in a 2:0 victory for Al Hazm

Key Players

Aboubacar Bah has 3 goals, 2 assists, and a rating of 7.12

Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe scored 4 goals with an overall rating of 6.69

Ibrahim Zaied holds an average rating of 7.04

Marin Petkov contributed 1 assist with a rating of 7.47

Bassam Al-Hurayji scored 1 goal this season with a rating of 6.87

Mailson records a strong goalkeeper rating of 7.46

Goalkeepers

Ibrahim Zaied played 12 matches with a rating of 7.04

The home team has kept 4 clean sheets this season

Mailson has made 5 appearances with a strong rating of 7.46

The visitors have already kept 6 clean sheets during this campaign

Influences

The Ar-Rass Stadium averages 2.6 goals per match

Both teams scored in 3 of the 5 games played at this venue

Al Hazm concedes an average of 1.5 goals in home games

Al Taawoun scores an average of 1.76 goals in away matches

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