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Pro League

Al Riyadh - Al Kholood

09/13/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Al Riyadh
1.3
Total xG
2.8
Al Kholood
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
ARAK

Al Riyadh

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
-0.57
Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 7, 6 places gap)
-0.09
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.08
Mahmoud Trezeguet not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Leandro Antunes not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Bernard Mensah not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
42% of goal output missing (only 48% available)

Al Kholood

Defensive weakness (1.9 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.53
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.24
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.2 goals/match)
+0.22
Rising form (2.2 vs 1.5 season average)
+0.22
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 13, 6 places gap)
+0.04

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.37
+0.37
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Al Kholood: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Al Kholood: 74% of all goals in the first half (14 of 19, last 12 games)

  • 3
    Al Riyadh: 43% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 14)

  • 4
    Al Riyadh: opponent scores first in 7 of 10 games (70%)

  • 5
    Al Kholood: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 12 games (42%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

33%

Draw

28%

Away Win

39%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

61%

Away or Draw

67%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

59%

No

41%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact: Only 49% of typical attacking threat available without Mahmoud Trezeguet, Leandro Antunes, and Bernard Mensah
  • Strong form: Al Kholood is unbeaten in 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws (DWWDW)
  • Efficient offense: Al Kholood currently averages 2.2 goals per game, higher than their season average of 1.5 goals
Risk Factors
  • Offensive weakness for Al Riyadh, averaging only 2.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Historical struggles for Al Kholood, with 3 defeats in their last 4 head-to-head matches
Overview

Al Riyadh host Al Kholood at the Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Pro League fixture on September 13, 2026, 8:00 PM

Al Riyadh sit in 13th place with 5 points while the visitors occupy 7th place with 12 points

The gap in standings shapes a clear hierarchy before kickoff

Form

Al Riyadh show inconsistent form with a record of LDWLD

In their last 5 matches the hosts recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Al Kholood enter the match in strong form with a record of DWWDW

The visitors remain unbeaten in their last 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws

Statistics

Al Riyadh have scored 35 goals and conceded 63 so far this season

The hosts concede an average of 1.85 goals per game

Al Kholood have scored 39 goals while conceding 61

In away matches the visitors concede an average of 1.58 goals

Head-to-Head

There have been 4 direct head-to-head encounters between the teams

Al Riyadh dominate the history with 3 wins while Al Kholood won just once

The last meeting on February 19, 2026, ended in a 2-0 away victory for Al Riyadh

Key Players

Teddy Okou is the top threat for Al Riyadh with 3 goals this season

Victor Lekhal commands the hosts' midfield with an average rating of 6.6

For Al Kholood Iker Kortajarena stands out with 4 goals and a 7.09 rating

Julien Domingues has been productive for the visitors with 3 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Milan Borjan guards the goal for Al Riyadh with an average rating of 6.89 and has 4 clean sheets this season

Hamed Al-Shanqity is in goal for Al Kholood with a rating of 6.63 and has kept 6 clean sheets

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Historical venue statistics show an average of 2.2 goals per game

The model predicts a 39% probability for an away win compared to 33% for a home win

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