Super League
Thun - St. Gallen
03/05/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.6
1.9
1:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
7%1:3
5%2:3
5%What influences the xG?
Thun
St. Gallen
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
24%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
70%
No
30%
Key Factors
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis suggests an away win for St. Gallen with 43% probability, with 1.92 predicted goals
- Form: Thun is in outstanding condition with five consecutive victories
- Offensive Strength: Both teams demonstrate positive offensive performance, Thun currently with 2.8 goals per game and St. Gallen with 2.5 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Head-to-head: Thun's historically poor record against St. Gallen with 3 losses in 5 direct duels could pose a risk
- Goal Potential: The high goal potential of the match, with an Over 3.5 probability of 48% and an average of 4.2 goals in recent games at the Stockhorn Arena, could complicate outcome prediction
Overview
Thun (1st place, 64 points) hosts St. Gallen (2nd place, 50 points) at the Stockhorn Arena
Super League match on March 5, 2026, 8:30 PM
Thun aims to defend its league lead, while St. Gallen seeks to close the gap to the top
Form
Thun is in excellent form with a form string of WWWWW
This corresponds to 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses in the last 5 games
St. Gallen shows strong form with WDWDW
In their last 5 encounters, they achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Thun scores an average of 2.3 goals per season and concedes 1.07 goals
At home, the average is 2.29 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
St. Gallen averages 1.96 goals scored per season and 1.22 goals conceded
Away from home, St. Gallen averages 1.93 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
Thun has kept 6 clean sheets this season, St. Gallen 7
In 19 games for both teams, both teams scored
The Stockhorn Arena averages 4.2 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 matches at this arena, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were registered
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun secured 2 wins, St. Gallen 3 wins, and there were no draws
Thun scored 7 goals in these encounters, while St. Gallen recorded 11 goals
The last meeting on December 13, 2025, ended with a 0:2 away win for St. Gallen
St. Gallen has been dominant in recent direct duels
Key Players
For Thun, Elmin Rastoder (11 goals, 4 assists, current form rating 7.32) and Valmir Matoshi (4 goals, 4 assists, current form rating 7.33) are key attacking players, both showing an upward trend in their ratings over the last 5 games
Kastriot Imeri contributed 6 goals and 5 assists, also improving his rating trend (7.27)
For St. Gallen, Alessandro Vogt stands out with 14 season goals and 3 assists, though his current form is declining
Carlo Boukhalfa scored 10 goals and 3 assists, his form is stable
Lukas Gƶrtler is an important assist provider with 4 goals and 8 assists
Goalkeepers
Thun goalkeeper Niklas Steffen recorded 6 clean sheets this season
St. Gallen goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi achieved 7 clean sheets
Influences
Thun has a record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with a 25:10 goal difference in 10 games on artificial turf
St. Gallen has played one game on artificial turf, resulting in one win (2:0 goals)
The Stockhorn Arena is known for high-scoring games, averaging 4.2 goals per match
In 80% of matches at this arena, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were registered