Friendly International

Korea Republic - Venezuela

10/02/2026, 11:00 AM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Korea Republic
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Venezuela
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
KRVEN

Korea Republic

Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.48
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.10

Venezuela

Attack strength (1.42x league average)
+0.21
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.01
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.01
Full strength squad available
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Korea Republic: 7 of 17 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Korea Republic: 82% of all goals in the second half (14 of 17, last 12 games)

  • 3
    Venezuela: 4 of 12 goals scored by substitutes (last 11 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

34%

Draw

30%

Away Win

36%

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

64%

Away or Draw

66%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Only 20% of Korea Republic's seasonal goal threat is actively available
  • Only 44% of Venezuela's seasonal goal threat is actively available
  • Korea Republic recently played possession-dominant football, averaging 61.2% possession in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability for historical head-to-head matches
  • Venezuela concede an average of 3.33 goals per away game
Overview

Friendly International at the Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Korea Republic host Venezuela on October 2, 2026, 11:00 AM

A balanced and closely contested match is expected

Form

Korea Republic hold a form of WLLWL from their last 5 matches

Most recently they suffered a loss against Uruguay

Venezuela enter the match with a form of WDLWL

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Korea Republic average 2.5 goals scored per game this season

Defensively the hosts concede an average of only 0.5 goals per match

Venezuela average 1.0 goals scored per game this season

On the road Venezuela concede a significant average of 3.33 goals per match

Key Players

Heung-min Son has scored 3 goals this season

Kang-in Lee currently has 1 goal and 1 assist

Cristian CĂĄsseres Jr. contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Goalkeepers

Bum-keun Song plays in goal for Korea Republic with an average rating of 6.65

José Contreras guards the goal for Venezuela with a rating of 6.84

Korea Republic have already kept 9 clean sheets this season

Influences

The match will be played on grass at the Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Korea Republic have scored 16 goals and conceded 5 at home so far

Venezuela have recorded 6 goals scored and 20 conceded away from home

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.