Friendly International

Korea Republic - Uzbekistan

10/06/2026, 11:00 AM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Korea Republic
1.2
Total xG
2.7
Uzbekistan
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
KRUZB

Korea Republic

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.21
Full strength squad available

Uzbekistan

Attack strength (1.38x league average)
+0.38
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.08
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
-0.01
Full strength squad available
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Korea Republic: 6 of 15 goals scored by substitutes (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Korea Republic: 87% of all goals in the second half (13 of 15, last 12 games)

  • 3
    Uzbekistan: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in 11 games. Against Syria: 2 goals (90+2', 90+4')

  • 4
    Korea Republic with Jae-sung Lee starting: 1.4 goals/game, without him: 0.6 (20/5 games, last 29)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Away Win

41%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

59%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • Form advantage for the visitors: Uzbekistan arrive with confidence after two consecutive wins
  • Goal drought for the hosts: Korea Republic is currently scoring less (1.0 goals per game) than their season average of 1.7
  • Offensive threat from Eldor Shomurodov: The striker is in peak form with 4 goals in his last 5 appearances
Risk Factors
  • Limited historical data available on direct head-to-head matches between the teams
  • Uzbekistan concede exactly 1.0 goals per game on average when playing away
  • Korea Republic averaged only 4.0 shots on target per match in recent games
Overview

Korea Republic host Uzbekistan at the Daejeon World Cup Stadium

Friendly International on October 6, 2026, 1:00 PM

A clash of two Asian sides with contrasting recent form

The visitors enter as slight favorites with a 41% win probability according to the model

Form

Korea Republic show inconsistent form with LLWLD

Their last match ended in a 0-0 draw against Venezuela

Uzbekistan arrive with a form of LLLWW

The visitors won their last two matches against Syria and Iran

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Korea Republic scored an average of 2.5 goals per match this season

Their defense remains stable with only 0.5 goals conceded on average

At home, the hosts score an impressive 2.67 goals per game

Uzbekistan average 1.69 goals scored and 0.69 goals conceded per match

In away games, the visitors concede exactly 1.0 goal on average

Key Players

Heung-min Son scored 4 goals in 7 appearances this season

Kang-in Lee recorded 1 goal and 1 assist this season with a rising form trend

Han-beom Lee registered 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 matches

Eldor Shomurodov is in peak form with 4 goals scored in his last 5 appearances

Akmal Mozgovoy provided 1 assist in his last 5 matches

Abbosbek Fayzullaev has 1 assist to his name this season

Goalkeepers

Hyeon-woo Jo guards the goal for the hosts, having kept 9 clean sheets this season

Abduvokhid Nematov starts for the visitors with 10 clean sheets recorded this term

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Daejeon World Cup Stadium

Weather conditions are ideal with a clear sky at 19.53°C and 32% humidity

The hosts have a strong home record with 16 goals scored in 6 home matches

The visitors have already conceded 8 goals in their 8 away games

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