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Europa Conference League

Austria Wien - Sporting Braga

08/27/2026, 06:30 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Austria Wien
1.8
Total xG
2.7
Sporting Braga
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
AWSB

Austria Wien

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.13
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.04
Strong home record (2.3 vs 1.7 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

Sporting Braga

Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.26
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.05
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.05
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.39
+0.39
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sporting Braga: first goal in 8 of 11 games (73%)

  • 2
    Sporting Braga: 5 of 13 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Pau VĆ­ctor: 4 of 6 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

  • 4
    Austria Wien: 31% of all goals between minutes 16-30 (5 of 16)

  • 5
    Austria Wien: opponent scores first in 6 of 9 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

26%

Away Win

18%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

82%

Away or Draw

44%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Limited offensive threat: Only 20% of Austria Wien's seasonal goal production is actively available
  • Tactical approach: Sporting Braga recently dominated with 55.8% possession and averaged 5.4 shots on target
  • Statistical outlook: Despite the 0-2 first-leg deficit the model calculates a 56% probability for a home win
Risk Factors
  • Defensive vulnerability: Austria Wien concedes an average of 1.93 goals per home match
  • Limited player statistics for Sporting Braga in the provided dataset
Overview

Austria Wien host Sporting Braga at the Generali Arena

Europa Conference League second leg on August 27, 2026, 7:30 PM

With a 0-2 deficit from the first leg there is a lot at stake for the hosts

Form

Austria Wien with form WWWLL (3 wins, 2 losses)

They are currently on a two-match losing streak

Sporting Braga show form WWDDW (3 wins, 2 draws) and remain unbeaten in five games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Austria Wien scored 45 goals and conceded 50 in 32 season games

At home they scored 19 goals and conceded 27 in 14 matches

Sporting Braga scored 64 goals and conceded 36 in 34 season games

Away from home they scored 30 goals and conceded 18 in 16 matches

Head-to-Head

There has been one head-to-head match between the teams

Sporting Braga won that home game 2-0 on August 20, 2026

The Portuguese side holds a goal record of 2-0

Key Players

Manfred Fischer leads the home team with a season rating of 7.13

Johannes Eggestein records a season rating of 6.78

Aleksandar Dragovic secures the defense with a rating of 6.92

No individual form statistics are available for Sporting Braga in the dataset

Goalkeepers

Samuel Sahin-Radlinger plays in goal for Austria Wien with a season rating of 6.55

The home side secured 9 clean sheets this season

Bernardo guards the goal for Sporting Braga whose defense achieved 12 clean sheets this season

Influences

Matches at the Generali Arena averaged 2.6 goals per game recently

These games recorded an Over 2.5 rate of 60%

The match is played on natural grass

Austria Wien conceded an average of 1.93 goals per game at home

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