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Europa Conference League

Sion - Ajax

08/20/2026, 06:15 PM

2 : 4
Expected Goals
Sion
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Ajax
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
What influences the xG?
SIOAJA

Sion

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.33
5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.8 goals/match)
+0.26
Rising form (2.8 vs 2 season average)
+0.26
Attack strength (1.5x league average)
-0.09
Full strength squad available

Ajax

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
-0.70
5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.22
Rising form (2.6 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.22
Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.21
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3 goals/match)
+0.45
+0.45
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Ajax: first goal in 7 of 8 games (88%)

  • 2
    Sion: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Ajax with Jorthy Mokio: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 4 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

  • 4
    Ajax: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Sion: 2 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (4 points rescued)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

32%

Away Win

26%

Goals

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

58%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • Sion is scoring more frequently in recent games, averaging 2.8 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
  • Ajax played highly dominantly in recent matches, averaging 67% possession and 7.8 shots on target
  • Sion's strong home defense, conceding just 0.82 goals per game on average, supports the mathematical home win prediction of 43%
Risk Factors
  • Ajax conceded an average of 1.41 goals per away match this season
  • Restricted data availability regarding detailed player form statistics
Overview

Sion host Ajax at the Stade de Tourbillon

Europa Conference League match on August 20, 2026, 8:15 PM

The hosts enter the match with a predicted home win probability of 43%

The mathematical model expects 1.28 goals for Sion and 0.94 goals for Ajax

Form

Sion is in excellent shape with a form trend of WWDWW

The hosts recently secured 4 wins and 1 draw

Ajax also arrives unbeaten with a form of WWWDD

The visitors recorded 3 wins and 2 draws lately

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Sion scored an average of 1.66 goals per game this season and conceded 1.05 goals

At home, their defense is even more stable, conceding just 0.82 goals on average

Ajax scored an average of 1.81 goals this season and conceded 1.17 goals

Away from home, Ajax concedes 1.41 goals on average while scoring 1.76 goals

Head-to-Head

No head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two teams

Key Players

Ilyas Chouaref has recorded 7 goals and 4 assists at the Stade de Tourbillon

Rilind Nivokazi has scored 8 goals and 2 assists in home matches so far

Winsley Boteli has registered 4 goals and 1 assist in home games

Julian Brandt, Marc-AndrƩ ter Stegen, and Steven Berghuis are featured in the starting lineup for Ajax

Goalkeepers

Anthony Racioppi starts in goal for Sion, boasting an average home rating of 7.26

Sion achieved 15 clean sheets this season, with 9 of them coming at home

Marc-AndrƩ ter Stegen guards the net for Ajax

Ajax registered 11 clean sheets this season, with 4 recorded in away games

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the Stade de Tourbillon

Historical matches at this venue featured a high average of 3.8 goals per game

All of the last 5 games at this stadium ended with over 2.5 goals

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