Super League
Winterthur - Servette
03/03/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
3.3
2.1
1:1
10%1:2
10%0:2
9%1:3
7%0:3
6%What influences the xG?
Winterthur
Servette
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
18%
Draw
23%
Away Win
59%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
41%
Away or Draw
82%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Key Factors
- Winterthur's defensive weakness: Conceding an average of 2.85 goals per game and without a single clean sheet, Winterthur's defense is extremely vulnerable
- Difference in form: While Winterthur has suffered five consecutive losses, Servette has at least earned points in their last four matches (four draws)
- Servette's offensive quality: Servette scores significantly more goals (1.63 per game) than their opponent and faces the league's weakest defense, increasing their win probability to 59% according to the model
Risk Factors
- Key absences for Servette: An important striker, F. Aye (8 goals), is missing, and the starting lineup is at only 83% of its usual strength according to the analysis
- Poor offensive form of both teams: According to the data, both teams have a negative trend in goal scoring; Servette's average recently dropped from 1.63 to 1.25 goals
- Short recovery time: Both teams have had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
Overview
Winterthur (12th place, 14 points) hosts Servette (10th place, 29 points) at Stadion Schützenwiese
Super League match on March 3, 2026, 8:30 PM
The visitors are the favorites in this bottom-of-the-table clash
Form
Winterthur is in catastrophic form with five consecutive losses
Form: LLLLL (0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses)
Servette is also winless in five matches but has recently managed four consecutive draws
Form: LDDDD (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
With an average of 2.85 goals conceded per game, Winterthur has the weakest defense in the league and has not kept a single clean sheet this season
Servette is more potent offensively, scoring an average of 1.63 goals per game, while Winterthur manages 1.11
In 20 of Servette's 27 league matches, both teams have scored
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Servette has the upper hand with 3 wins, compared to one win for Winterthur and one draw
The goal difference also favors Servette at 11:6
However, Winterthur won the most recent meeting 4:2
Key Players
For Winterthur, hopes rest on Andrin Hunziker (8 season goals, 2 assists) and Théo Golliard (3 goals, 4 assists)
The key players for Servette are Miroslav Stevanovic (8 goals, 5 assists) and the in-form Jérémy Guillemenot (6 goals, 2 assists)
Goalkeepers
Winterthur's goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino has not yet kept a clean sheet this season
Joël Mall in goal for Servette has already kept a clean sheet 4 times with his team this season
Influences
The Stadion Schützenwiese is a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals in the last five home matches
Winterthur's defensive weakness at home is evident with 2.0 goals conceded per game
Servette scores an average of 1.6 goals per away game