Friendly International

Bolivia - Paraguay

09/27/2026, 08:30 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Bolivia
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Paraguay
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

13%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
What influences the xG?
BOLPAR

Bolivia

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.30
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.02

Paraguay

Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.48
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.23
Full strength squad available
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Bolivia: opponent scores first in 7 of 8 games (88%)

  • 2
    Paraguay with Julio Enciso starting: 0.9 goals/game, without him: 0.4 (17/10 games, last 29)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

27%

Draw

33%

Away Win

39%

Goals

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

61%

Away or Draw

73%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

43%

No

57%

Key Factors
  • Paraguay faces a heavily restricted squad impact with only 43% of their usual goal production available
  • Bolivia currently scores more frequently, averaging 1.5 goals in recent matches compared to a season average of 1.0
  • Bolivia averaged a dominant 55.8% possession in past matches, whereas Paraguay averaged just 29.8% possession playing on the counter
Risk Factors
  • Paraguay's scoring has stalled recently, averaging just 0.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Paraguay averaged only 1.8 shots on target per match in their recent outings
  • Limited injury data available for the home team in the provided dataset
Overview

Bolivia face Paraguay at Audi Field

International Friendly on September 27, 2026, 4:30 PM

A neutral venue clash with no league standings pressure

Form

Bolivia show form WWLLL in their last five matches

The home side is on a three-game losing streak

Paraguay travel with form LWDDL

The visitors recorded one loss and one draw in their most recent outings

Statistics

Bolivia scored 17 goals and conceded 35 in 18 games

Paraguay scored 14 goals while conceding only 10 over 18 season matches

Bolivia secured six clean sheets, whereas Paraguay achieved ten

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 11 of Bolivia's 18 matches

Head-to-Head

Five head-to-head matches in history

Bolivia won two, Paraguay won one, with two draws

Goal record stands at 9 to 5 in favor of Bolivia

The last direct meeting ended in a 2:2 draw

Key Players

Efraín Morales shows a rising form trend with one assist in his last five appearances

Fernando Nava recorded one goal and one assist in three season games

Miguel Almirón scored one goal in his last four matches for Paraguay

Goalkeepers

Guillermo Viscarra lines up for Bolivia, whose team has kept six clean sheets this season

Gastón Olveira starts for Paraguay, with his side securing ten clean sheets overall

Influences

The match is hosted at Audi Field on grass

Stadium metrics average 1.8 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals were scored in three out of five matches at this venue

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