Super League
Sion - Winterthur
03/07/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.6
3.5
0.9
2:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%4:0
5%4:1
5%What influences the xG?
Sion
Winterthur
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
72%
Draw
18%
Away Win
11%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
89%
Away or Draw
28%
No Draw
82%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Sion's home win probability is 71% according to mathematical analysis
- Winterthur concedes an average of 4.09 goals per away game, while Sion allows only 0.71 goals at home
- Sion has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches and won the last home game 2:0
Risk Factors
- Sion had only 3 days of rest since the last match
- Key players for Winterthur are not in the lineup, making only 72% of their usual goal threat available
- Winterthur generates an average of only 4.0 shots on target per game
Overview
Sion (6th place, 41 points) host Winterthur (12th place, 15 points) at Stade de Tourbillon. Super League match on March 7, 2026, 6:00 PM. Sion enters the clash against the bottom-placed team as clear favorites
Form
Sion's form in the last five matches is WLWDL. This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Winterthur shows a form of LLLLD, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sion scores an average of 1.43 goals per game and concedes 1.14 goals. At home, they score 1.43 goals and concede only 0.71 goals per game. Sion kept a clean sheet in 10 matches, 7 of which were at home. Winterthur scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 2.79 goals per game. Away, Winterthur concedes an average of 4.09 goals per game. Winterthur has not kept a clean sheet this season. At Stade de Tourbillon, an average of 2.0 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Sion won 3 times and Winterthur won 2 times. There were no draws. The goal difference is 9:7 in favor of Sion. The last encounter on January 14, 2026, ended with a 2:0 home win for Sion. Sion has dominated recent encounters
Key Players
For Sion, Rilind Nivokazi (11 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.97 Rating), Ilyas Chouaref (5 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 7.14 Rating), and Nias Hefti (6 assists, Avg. 6.91 Rating) are key players. Rilind Nivokazi shows a rising form trend with a delta of 0.21. Ilyas Chouaref also shows a rising form trend with a delta of 1.01. For Winterthur, Andrin Hunziker (8 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 6.97 Rating), Roman Buess (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.82 Rating), and Alexandre Jankewitz (1 goal, 3 assists, Avg. 6.58 Rating) are notable
Goalkeepers
Sion's goalkeeper Anthony Racioppi played 28 season matches and kept 10 clean sheets. Winterthur's goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino also played 28 season matches, but could not keep a clean sheet in any game
Influences
Sion has a home advantage with an average of 1.43 goals scored and only 0.71 goals conceded in home games. Winterthur shows a clear away weakness with an average of 4.09 goals conceded per away game. Stade de Tourbillon recorded an average of 2.0 goals in 5 matches