Champions League
Newcastle United - PSV
01/21/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.1
1.0
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
40%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- PSV's outstanding offense with an average of 3.11 goals per game, including away matches
- The statistics of St. James' Park suggest a high-scoring game (average of 4.4 goals)
- PSV with stronger current form and a streak of 4 consecutive wins
Risk Factors
- Extensive injury lists on both sides could significantly impact performance
- The head-to-head duels are over 20 years old and therefore have little relevance
- The league table data is incomplete according to a warning (0 games played), which complicates the assessment
Overview
Newcastle United (13th place, 10 points) host PSV (21st place, 8 points) at St. James' Park. Champions League match on January 21, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams are close to each other in the table
Form
Newcastle United's form is WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). PSV's form is LWWWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). PSV is on a 4-game winning streak
Statistics
PSV has a significantly stronger offense with an average of 3.11 goals per game compared to Newcastle United (1.45). Defensively, both teams are comparable with 1.21 (PSV) and 1.23 (Newcastle) goals conceded per game. PSV is also extremely dangerous away from home (3.11 goals per game), while Newcastle scores a solid 1.47 goals at home. Both teams scored in 13 of Newcastle's league matches, which was also the case in 13 of PSV's games
Head-to-Head
In 2 previous encounters, Newcastle United won 1 time, while PSV remained winless, and 1 match ended in a draw. The goal difference is 3:2 in favor of Newcastle United. The last meeting was a 2:1 victory for Newcastle United in April 2004
Key Players
Harvey Barnes has scored 4 goals in the last 5 games for Newcastle. Bruno Guimarães contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches. For PSV, Ricardo Pepi is in top form with 3 season goals. Joey Veerman has also shown strong performances recently with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Nick Pope has played 5 games for Newcastle United this season. Aaron Ramsdale has made one appearance. For PSV, Matej Kovar has been in goal for 6 matches. The Newcastle United team has kept a total of 7 clean sheets, while PSV has managed 5
Influences
At St. James' Park, an average of 4.4 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 80% of the matches. PSV has a very strong record on grass with 9 wins from 10 games. Newcastle United's record on this surface is more balanced with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses