Super League
Servette - Zürich
03/07/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%What influences the xG?
Servette
Zürich
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
30%
Away Win
26%
Goals
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
74%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Mathematical analysis indicates an increased probability of a Servette home win at 44%
- Home strength vs. Away weakness: Servette scores 1.67 goals at home, while Zürich concedes an average of 2.36 goals away
- Form: Servette is unbeaten in five games (all draws), while Zürich has suffered two consecutive losses recently
Risk Factors
- Zürich had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Servette registers an average of only 2.2 shots on target (low finishing)
- Zürich concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game
Overview
Servette (10th place, 30 points) host FC Zürich (9th place, 31 points) at Stade de Genève for a Super League clash on March 7, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table, fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle. Servette are slight favorites, with the mathematical analysis indicating a 44% probability of a home win.
Form
Servette is currently on a run of 5 consecutive draws (DDDDD) across all competitions. This includes their last match, a 1-1 away draw against Winterthur. The team has recorded no wins or losses in their last five games. In contrast, FC Zürich shows a mixed form with 2 wins and 3 losses (WLWLL) in their last five matches. Their most recent game ended in a 1-2 home defeat against Lausanne Sport, giving FC Zürich two consecutive losses. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Servette scores an average of 1.61 goals per game and concedes 1.86 goals. At home, the average is 1.67 goals scored and 2.08 goals conceded. FC Zürich averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.96 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they concede an average of 2.36 goals and score 1.45 goals. Overall, both teams scored in 21 of Servette's matches and in 19 of Zürich's matches. At Stade de Genève, the last five games saw an average of 2.8 total goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 40% of cases.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Servette and FC Zürich, Servette secured 2 wins, FC Zürich claimed 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Servette scored a total of 9 goals, while FC Zürich netted 6. The last encounter on January 18, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Servette is described as recently dominant in direct encounters.
Key Players
For Servette, Miroslav Stevanovic with 8 goals and 5 assists, and Florian Ayé with 9 goals and 2 assists are important attacking players. Jérémy Guillemenot contributed 6 goals and 2 assists. For FC Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny stands out with 11 season goals and 2 assists. Bledian Krasniqi is a key playmaker with 1 goal and 6 assists, while Damienus Reverson scored 5 goals.
Goalkeepers
Servette's goalkeeper, Joël Mall, played in 24 seasonal matches and achieved 4 clean sheets. His average rating in the last 5 games is 6.28, showing a declining trend. For FC Zürich, Silas Huber guarded the goal in 7 games, recording 2 clean sheets. His rating in the last 5 matches is 7.4, indicating a rising trend.
Influences
Servette scores an average of 1.67 goals at home and concedes 2.08 goals. FC Zürich concedes an average of 2.36 goals away and scores 1.45 goals. Statistics at Stade de Genève show an average of 2.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 40% of games. The playing surface is grass.