Champions League
Monaco - Juventus
01/28/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.4
2.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
15%
Draw
50%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
20%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
85%
No Draw
50%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Drastic form discrepancy: Juventus's strong run (4 wins in 5 games) meets Monaco's deep crisis (no wins in 5 games)
- Defensive stability vs. vulnerability: Juventus concedes only 0.77 goals on average, while Monaco is very vulnerable with 1.74 goals against per game
- Critical weakening of both teams: Both sides have only a fraction of their goal-scoring threat available (Monaco 29%, Juventus 40%), which heavily neutralizes their offensive power and favors an unpredictable match
Risk Factors
- Extreme impact from injuries: The high number of absences for both teams makes their offensive performance and the match outcome very difficult to predict
- Potential fatigue for Juventus: With only three days of rest since their last match, Juventus could show signs of exhaustion, especially with a depleted squad
Overview
Monaco (21st place, 9 points) hosts Juventus (15th place, 12 points) at the Stade Louis II. for a Champions League match on January 28, 2026, at 9:00 PM. Although both teams are in the middle of the table, Juventus enters the match as the favorite due to their significantly better form.
Form
The form curves of the two teams could hardly be more different
Monaco: LLLLD - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in the last 5 games
Juventus: WWLWW - 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games
Juventus is in clearly superior form, while Monaco is experiencing a persistent crisis (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss).
Statistics
The statistics paint a clear picture
Monaco scores an average of 1.47 goals per game this season but also concedes 1.74
Juventus is similarly strong offensively with 1.59 goals per game, but far superior defensively with only 0.77 goals conceded
Juventus has already kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Monaco has only managed 3.
Head-to-Head
The historical record speaks clearly in favor of Juventus
In 4 direct encounters, Monaco has not won a single game, while Juventus was victorious 3 times and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference of 5:1 also underscores Juventus's dominance
The last meeting on May 9, 2017, was won by Juventus 2-1.
Key Players
Folarin Balogun is an important player for Monaco with 3 season goals
For Juventus, Weston McKennie with 3 goals and Kenan Yıldız with 3 assists stand out
Jonathan David has also shown rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist, making him a decisive factor for the visitors.
Goalkeepers
Philipp Köhn is expected in goal for Monaco, playing behind a defense that has kept 3 clean sheets this season
For Juventus, Michele Di Gregorio is between the posts, whose team has already kept a clean sheet 9 times, highlighting their defensive strength.
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at the Stade Louis II.
Monaco's home record on this surface is weak, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses
Juventus, on the other hand, has a strong away record on natural grass with 8 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss
The stadium statistics suggest an entertaining match, with an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent fixtures.