Super League
St. Gallen - Basel
03/08/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.7
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
6%3:0
5%What influences the xG?
St. Gallen
Basel
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
56%
Draw
22%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
44%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
69%
No
31%
Key Factors
- Critical squad impact for Basel: Only 47% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, with Xherdan Shaqiri (10G/10A) and Keigo Tsunemoto (1G/1A) not in the lineup
- St. Gallen's current offensive form is positive: They are currently scoring more often (2.5) than their season average (2.1)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for St. Gallen with a probability of 56%
Risk Factors
- Both teams have only 3 days rest since their last match, which could indicate fatigue
- Basel's goal production is currently stagnant (1.2) and below their season average (1.6)
- The historical record shows a tendency for draws, with 3 stalemates in the last 5 direct encounters
Overview
St. Gallen (2nd place, 51 points) host Basel (4th place, 46 points) at Kybunpark
Super League match on March 8, 2026, 2:00 PM
St. Gallen aims to consolidate its top table position and reduce the gap to the leaders
Basel is fighting to catch up to the European qualification spots
Form
St. Gallen's current form is DWDWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They have achieved 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games
Most recently, they drew 2-2 away against Thun and won 2-1 at home against Winterthur
Basel's form is LDLWW
They have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Most recently, they won 1-0 at home against Grasshopper and 2-1 away against Lausanne Sport
Statistics
St. Gallen has scored an average of 1.96 goals per game this season and conceded 1.25 goals
They kept 7 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 20 matches
Basel has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game and conceded 1.25 goals
They kept 8 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 16 matches
In home games, St. Gallen scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 1.31 goals
In away games, Basel scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded 1.60 goals
At Kybunpark, an average of 3.2 goals per game were scored
In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 4 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for St. Gallen, 1 win for Basel, and 3 draws
The goal difference is 6:6
The last encounter on November 30, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
Key Players
St. Gallen will rely on the performance of Alessandro Vogt (14 season goals, 3 assists)
Carlo Boukhalfa contributed 10 season goals and 3 assists
Lukas Görtler recorded 5 season goals and 8 assists
For Basel, Bénie Traoré is an important player with 7 season goals
Giacomo Koloto has scored 2 season goals
Julien Duranville contributed 1 season goal and 1 assist
Goalkeepers
Lawrence Ati Zigi of St. Gallen played in 25 games and kept 7 clean sheets
Marwin Hitz of Basel played 26 games and kept 8 clean sheets
Influences
St. Gallen benefits from its home advantage, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded in home games
An average of 3.2 goals per game are scored at Kybunpark
Furthermore, both teams scored in 80% of games at Kybunpark, and 80% of games ended with over 2.5 goals