Friendly International

India - Uruguay

10/06/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 6
Expected Goals
India
0.9
Total xG
2.6
Uruguay
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

0:2

11%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

5%
What influences the xG?
INDURU

India

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.20
37% of goal output missing (only 76% available)

Uruguay

Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.52
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.01
11% of goal output missing (only 74% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Uruguay: 38% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (5 of 13)

  • 2
    Uruguay: opponent scores first in 6 of 9 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

18%

Draw

27%

Away Win

55%

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

45%

Away or Draw

82%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

49%

No

51%

Key Factors
  • Clear favorite: The model calculates a 55% win probability for Uruguay
  • Tactical dominance: Uruguay averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to 2.6 for India
  • Defensive gap: India concedes an average of 2.5 home goals per game, while Uruguay's defense remains highly stable
Risk Factors
  • Fatigue factor: India with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Squad limitations: Uruguay arrives with only 74% of their usual lineup strength
Overview

India host Uruguay in an international friendly match

Match on October 6, 2026, at 4:00 PM at the Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium

The visitors enter this clash as clear favorites

Form

India with a weak form run of LLDDL without a single recent win

Uruguay stabilized in their last match with a win (Form: DDLLW)

The hosts recorded two draws and three losses in their last five matches

Uruguay recently achieved one win, two draws, and two defeats

Statistics

Uruguay with a solid attack scoring 22 goals in 18 season matches (Avg 1.22 goals)

India scored only 3 goals in 6 season matches (Avg 0.5 goals)

The visitors' defense is highly stable, conceding only Avg 0.67 goals per game

India concedes on average 2.5 goals per home game

Head-to-Head

There are no recorded head-to-head matches between these two nations

This is the first meeting in recent history

Key Players

Ryan Williams scored 1 goal in 2 appearances this season

Akash Mishra contributed 1 assist from defense

Anwar Ali stabilizes the Indian defense with a rising form trend

Darwin NĂșñez scored 2 goals in 4 matches for Uruguay this season

Maxi AraĂșjo provided key impacts both defensively and offensively with 1 goal and 1 assist

Federico Viñas scored twice in his last four appearances

Goalkeepers

Gurpreet Singh Sandhu has a season rating average of 6.05

India achieved 3 clean sheets so far this season

Uruguay boasts 10 clean sheets across the entire season

Thiago Cardozo played in 3 recent matches, holding a rating of 6.95

Influences

The match will be played under very hot conditions of around 32.6°C

The Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan Stadium features a natural grass surface

The humidity is low at 42% with clear skies

Home advantage for India at their venue which averages 2.0 goals per game historically

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