Friendly International

Egypt - South Africa

10/04/2026, 06:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Egypt
1.2
Total xG
2.4
South Africa
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
EGYSA

Egypt

Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.53
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.02
Full strength squad available

South Africa

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.26
Attack strength (1.32x league average)
+0.05
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
-0.04
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    South Africa: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 2
    South Africa: opponent scores first in 5 of 6 games (83%)

  • 3
    Egypt: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 12 games (42%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

31%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

50%

No

50%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact: South Africa lines up with 0% of their usual goal-scoring starting strength
  • Tactical advantage: Egypt averaged 3.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to South Africa's 2.8
  • Offensive slump for the visitors: South Africa's goal scoring recently stalled at 0.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
Risk Factors
  • Egypt's goal scoring has also stalled recently at 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.9
  • South Africa averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match in recent games
Overview

Friendly match at the Cairo International Stadium

Egypt hosts South Africa for an international friendly

Balanced matchup according to the mathematical models

Form

Egypt enters with the form DWDDL

Most recently they suffered a narrow 2-3 loss against Argentina

South Africa travels with the form DLDWL

The visitors lost their last match 0-1 against Canada

Statistics

Egypt scored 20 goals in 10 matches this season

At home they conceded an average of only 0.17 goals per game

South Africa averaged 1.7 goals scored per match this season

The visitors conceded an average of 0.75 goals in 4 away games

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams

That match in March 2025 ended in a 3-1 victory for South Africa

The historical record currently favors the visitors

Key Players

Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf scored 2 goals with a rating of 7.17

Emam Ashour registered 2 goals in the last 5 matches

Mohamed Hany has already provided 2 assists this season

South Africa's Fawaaz Basadien boasts an average rating of 7.34

Goalkeepers

Oufa Shobeir starts in goal for Egypt holding a strong rating of 7.34

Sipho Chaine is nominated for South Africa, carrying a season rating of 6.73

Egypt can look back on 8 clean sheets this season

South Africa kept 5 clean sheets so far this term

Influences

The Cairo International Stadium averages 2.2 goals per match

Both teams scored in 40% of the matches at this venue so far

The current temperature is a mild 16.07°C with scattered clouds

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