Friendly International

Algeria - Niger

10/06/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Algeria
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Niger
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
ALGNIG

Algeria

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.05
Amine Gouiri not in squad (4 goals, 0 assists)
81% of goal output missing (only 12% available)

Niger

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.20
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Niger: 3.2 cards per game (33 yellows, 2 reds in 11 games)

  • 2
    Algeria: 74% of all goals in the second half (14 of 19, last 10 games)

  • 3
    Algeria: 5 of 17 goals scored by substitutes (last 10 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

74%

Away or Draw

54%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Only 12% of the goal threat is available, as Amine Gouiri is not nominated
  • Algeria recently averaged 3.8 shots on target with 59% possession
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 46% and 1.64 expected goals for Algeria
Risk Factors
  • Limited data available on head-to-head matches between the two national teams
  • Algeria's goal production is currently stalling at 1.3 compared to their season average of 2.4
  • Niger's goal production is also stalling at 0.8 compared to their season average of 1.3
Overview

Algeria hosts Niger in an international friendly match

The match is scheduled for October 6, 2026, 5:00 PM

Host Algeria enters the match as the favorite

Form

Algeria shows a form of WLWDL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Niger enters with a form of WDDDL consisting of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Both teams lost their respective last match

Statistics

Algeria has scored 2.4 goals per game this season while conceding 0.8 goals

In home games, Algeria averages 2.33 goals scored per match

Niger scored an average of 1.38 goals per game this season and conceded 1.25 goals

In away games, Niger averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded

Key Players

Ibrahim Maza showed rising form recently with 1 goal and 1 assist

Mohamed Belloumi scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in recent matches

Daniel Sosah scored 3 goals for the visitors in recent matches with an average rating of 6.66

Influences

The match will be played under very hot conditions of 32.79°C

The feels-like temperature is 31.05°C with a humidity of 24%

There are scattered clouds and a wind speed of 3.18 m/s

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