Friendly International

Côte d'Ivoire - Cameroon

10/03/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Côte d'Ivoire
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Cameroon
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

0:2

5%
What influences the xG?
CDCAM

Côte d'Ivoire

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.03
Guela Doué not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Nicolas Pépé not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

Cameroon

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.18
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Attack strength (1.26x league average)
+0.10
100% of goal output missing (only 55% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Côte d'Ivoire: first goal in 6 of 9 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

30%

Away Win

30%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

70%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact: Côte d'Ivoire has 0% of their usual starting lineup strength available with Guela Doué and Nicolas Pépé missing
  • Low offensive output: Côte d'Ivoire averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Tight prediction: The model calculates a 40% home win probability and 30% for an away win
Risk Factors
  • Limited squad strength for Cameroon: The team has only 56% of its usual starting lineup strength available
  • Slow offensive form: Both teams show stagnating goal production compared to their season averages according to advancedStats
Overview

Côte d'Ivoire host Cameroon at Al Salam Stadium for a Friendly International

Match on October 3, 2026, 7:00 PM

Slight favorites role for the home team with a 40% win probability according to the model

Form

Côte d'Ivoire form: WWLWL with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches

Cameroon form: WDLLW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Côte d'Ivoire averages 2.5 goals scored and 0 goals conceded per game this season

Cameroon scores an average of 1.55 goals and concedes 0.55 goals per match

Côte d'Ivoire has kept 10 clean sheets in 10 games

Key Players

Amadou Koné has recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 matches

Ibrahim Sangaré contributed 1 assist in 5 games with a 6.88 rating

Bryan Mbeumo leads Cameroon with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances

Goalkeepers

Alban Lafont features in goal for Côte d'Ivoire with a rating of 7.65 in one match

Simon Ngapandouetnbu guards the goal for Cameroon

Côte d'Ivoire has kept 10 clean sheets this season compared to Cameroon's 5

Influences

The match is played on artificial turf

Côte d'Ivoire has a record of 2 wins and 1 loss on this surface

Al Salam Stadium matches have historically averaged 3.0 total goals

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