Friendly International

Russia - Namibia

10/03/2026, 03:00 PM

6 : 0
Expected Goals
Russia
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Namibia
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
RUSNAM

Russia

4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.01
Aleksey Batrakov on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
23% of goal output missing (only 67% available)

Namibia

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.2 goals/match)
-0.31
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Russia: first goal in 8 of 10 games (80%)

  • 2
    Russia: 71% of all goals in the first half (15 of 21, last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

28%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

72%

Away or Draw

55%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Form contrast: Russia recorded three consecutive wins recently while Namibia suffered five straight defeats
  • Offensive dominance: Russia averaged 15.0 total shots and 5.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Defensive home strength: Russia conceded only 0.17 goals on average at home making it difficult for the visitors
Risk Factors
  • Aleksey Batrakov is missing, only 68% of seasonal goal threat available
  • Limited historical data due to the lack of head-to-head meetings in the dataset
  • Russia's goal scoring has slowed down recently averaging 2.0 goals compared to the season average of 2.4
Overview

Russia face Namibia in an international friendly

The match takes place at the RZD Arena on October 3, 2026, 5:00 PM

The mathematical prediction calculates a home win probability of 45%

Form

Russia show positive form with a DLWWW record and three consecutive wins

Namibia are struggling with an LLLLL record and five consecutive losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Russia average 1.83 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per game this season

At home the Russian defense is extremely solid conceding just 0.17 goals on average

Namibia have a season average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per match

The visitors kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches this season

Head-to-Head

There are no historical head-to-head records between Russia and Namibia in the provided dataset

This is the first meeting between the two national teams

Key Players

Lechi Sadulaev scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist this season with a 7.10 rating

Aleksey Miranchuk has 1 goal this season with an average rating of 7.04

Viktor Melekhin played 4 matches with an average rating of 7.26

Peter Shalulile scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches with a rating of 6.76

Deon Hotto contributed 2 assists in his recent appearances

Riaan Hanamub also recorded 2 assists in his last matches

Goalkeepers

Stanislav Agkatsev played 3 matches this season with an average rating of 6.81 and Russia kept 4 clean sheets in total

Kamaijanda Ndisiro made 1 season appearance with a rating of 5.88 while Namibia recorded 5 clean sheets overall

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the RZD Arena

Russia benefit from home advantage with a strong home record of 11 goals scored and only 1 conceded in 6 home games

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