Friendly International

Jordan - Venezuela

10/06/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Jordan
1.1
Total xG
2.9
Venezuela
1.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

6%
What influences the xG?
JORVEN

Jordan

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.20
Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.03
Odeh Fakhouri not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
23% of goal output missing (only 93% available)

Venezuela

Attack strength (1.36x league average)
+0.76
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.21
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
-0.05
Gleiker Mendoza on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Cristian CĂĄsseres Jr. on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
37% of goal output missing (only 33% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Jordan: dropped a lead in 5 of 5 games (12 points lost)

  • 2
    Venezuela: 4 of 10 goals scored by substitutes (last 11 games)

  • 3
    Jordan: 45% of all goals between minutes 46-60 (5 of 11)

  • 4
    Jordan: 8 of 22 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 10 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

23%

Draw

26%

Away Win

51%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

49%

Away or Draw

77%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Only 33% of goal threat available for Venezuela, without Gleiker Mendoza, Cristian CĂĄsseres Jr.
  • Away defensive vulnerability: Venezuela concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away match
  • Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a 51% probability for an away win
Risk Factors
  • Jordan's goal production is stalling recently at 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.5
  • Weather impact: Forecasted light rain could affect playability on natural grass
Overview

Jordan host Venezuela at the King Abdullah International Stadium

International Friendly on October 6, 2026, 6:00 PM

The visitors travel as the slight favorites

Form

Jordan features a form run of LLLLD with only one recent draw

Venezuela shows a record of DLWLD

Both teams recorded draws in their most recent outings

Statistics

Jordan scores an average of 2 goals per home match this season

Venezuela concedes an average of 3.33 goals in away matches

Statistical metrics suggest potential goals in this fixture

Key Players

Mousa Tamari stabilizes Jordan's attacking threat

Ali Olwan recently scored two goals

Delvin Alfonzo contributed two goals for Venezuela this season

Goalkeepers

Abdallah Al-Fakhouri starts in goal for Jordan

Cristopher Javier Varela Caicedo guards the net for Venezuela

Both teams have recorded 6 clean sheets during the current season

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the King Abdullah International Stadium

The weather conditions indicate light rain at 22.23°C

Historically, matches at this venue average 2.4 goals per game

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