Friendly International

Argentina - Benin

10/06/2026, 11:00 PM

3 : 0
Expected Goals
Argentina
1.9
Total xG
2.7
Benin
0.7
Most Likely Scores

2:0

13%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
ARGBEN

Argentina

Defensive strength (0.7 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.65
Attack strength (1.36x league average)
+0.48
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (3.2 goals/match)
+0.39

Benin

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.11
44% of goal output missing (only 55% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Argentina: 6 wins in 6 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)

  • 2
    Argentina: 13 goals from minute 80 onwards in 12 games. Against England: 2 goals (86', 90+2')

  • 3
    Argentina: first goal in 9 of 12 games (75%)

  • 4
    Argentina: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

24%

Away Win

12%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

88%

Away or Draw

36%

No Draw

76%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • High home win probability of 64% with 1.92 expected goals based on the mathematical model
  • Significant drop in Benin's squad strength with only 56% active goals share available
  • Argentina recently dominated with an average of 7.0 shots on target and current average of 3.2 goals per game
Risk Factors
  • Argentina with only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Benin conceding an average of 2.67 goals per away game
  • Limited data availability for away expected goals statistics
Overview

Argentina host Benin at the Estadio Monumental

Friendly International match on October 6, 2026, 11:00 PM

A matchup between a highly dominant home side and the visitors

Form

Argentina's current form is WWLWW

They are coming off two consecutive victories

Benin travel with a form of LWWDL

The visitors lost their last match

Statistics

Argentina average 1.72 goals scored per game this season

Their home defense is extremely solid with only 0.33 goals conceded per game

Benin concede an average of 2.67 goals in away matches

The visitors' offense has stalled recently with an average of 0.8 goals

Key Players

Lautaro MartĂ­nez has scored 3 season goals and showed strong form with 4 goals recently

Lionel Messi shows a rising trend with 3 goals and 2 assists in recent matches

Enzo FernĂĄndez solidifies the midfield with a rising trend and 1 recent goal

Goalkeepers

Emiliano MartĂ­nez guards the goal for Argentina and contributed to 11 clean sheets this season

Marcel Dandjinou is in goal for Benin with 5 clean sheets recorded

Influences

Matches at the Estadio Monumental on grass average 3.5 total goals

Mild weather conditions with 22.36°C and few clouds expected

Argentina boast a strong home record with only 4 goals conceded in 12 home games

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