Friendly International

Comoros - Senegal

10/04/2026, 01:00 PM

0 : 1
Expected Goals
Comoros
1.0
Total xG
2.7
Senegal
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

6%
What influences the xG?
COMSEN

Comoros

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.01

Senegal

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.40
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.10
Sadio Mané not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
Ismaïla Sarr not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
77% of goal output missing (only 30% available)
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Senegal: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Senegal: 32% of all goals between minutes 46-60 (8 of 25)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

19%

Draw

26%

Away Win

55%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

45%

Away or Draw

81%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Only 30% of attacking threat available, without Sadio Mané and Ismaïla Sarr
  • Senegal averaged 5.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • The model predicts a high win probability of 55% for Senegal
Risk Factors
  • Comoros averaged only 2.7 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Limited data availability for home team expected goals (xG) and head-to-head history
Overview

Friendly match between Comoros and Senegal

Match on October 4, 2026, 3:00 PM

Senegal enters this international friendly as clear favorites

Form

Comoros showing mixed form (LLWWL) with a recent loss against Kazakhstan

Senegal also coming off a defeat in their last match (DLLWL) against Belgium

Comoros secured 2 wins and suffered 3 losses in their last 5 games

Senegal recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent run

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Senegal with a strong attack averaging 2.2 goals per game

Comoros score an average of 1.2 goals per match

Defensively, Senegal is extremely stable with only 0.3 goals conceded per game

Comoros concede an average of 1.3 goals per match

In home matches, Comoros score an average of 1.17 goals and concede 1.17 goals

Senegal scores an average of 2.25 goals and concedes 0.5 goals in away matches

Key Players

Warmed Omari stands out in the Comoros defense with 384 minutes and 1 assist

Iyad Mohamed recently completed 196 minutes in the hosts' midfield

Yacine Bourhane was on the pitch for Comoros in 2 of the recent matches

Ibrahim Mbaye shines for Senegal with 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 appearances

Nobel Mendy recently scored 1 goal in 5 games for the visitors

Kalidou Koulibaly played 418 minutes for Senegal in the last 5 matches

Goalkeepers

Adel Anzimati-Aboudou is in goal for Comoros

Mory Diaw recently guarded Senegal's goal in 4 matches with an average rating of 7.16

Comoros achieved a total of 4 clean sheets this season

Senegal already boasts 8 clean sheets this season

Influences

Comoros score an average of 1.17 goals and concede 1.17 goals in home matches

Senegal scores an average of 2.25 goals with only 0.5 goals conceded away from home

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