Super League
Young Boys - Thun
03/08/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.7
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Young Boys
Thun
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
29%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Balanced prediction: Mathematical analysis sees almost no favorite (home win 36%, away win 36%)
- Thun's dominance: As league leaders with 65 points and a strong offense (avg 2.29 goals), Thun is hard to beat
- Offensive strength: Both teams show a positive trend in attacking performance (Young Boys recently 2.6 goals instead of 2.0, Thun recently 2.6 instead of 2.3 goals)
Risk Factors
- Short recovery time: Thun has only 3 days of rest since the last match
Overview
Young Boys (6th place, 42 points) host Thun (1st place, 65 points) at Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
Super League match on March 8, 2026, 4:30 PM
Thun leads the table convincingly, while Young Boys are fighting for a spot in international competitions
Form
Young Boys' current form (LWLWW) shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Thun is in excellent form (WWWWD) with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
Young Boys won their last two home games consecutively
Thun is unbeaten in 5 games, with the streak ending in a draw
Young Boys' last 5 results include Luzern (2:1 Win), Zürich (3:0 Win), Sion (1:3 Loss), Winterthur (6:1 Win) and St. Gallen (1:2 Loss)
Thun's last 5 results include St. Gallen (2:2 Draw), Luzern (2:1 Win), Winterthur (3:0 Win), Sion (1:0 Win) and Lausanne Sport (5:1 Win)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Young Boys average 2.04 goals scored per game and concede 1.89 goals per game this season
At home, Young Boys are offensively strong with an average of 2.06 goals scored and concede 1.0 goals
Thun averages 2.29 goals scored per match and concedes 1.11 goals
Away from home, Thun is strong offensively with an average of 2.31 goals scored and defensively with 1.0 goals conceded
Young Boys kept 6 clean sheets, Thun also 6 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 19 Young Boys matches and 20 Thun matches
Young Boys had over 2.5 goals in 22 matches, Thun also in 22 matches
In the last 5 games at Stadion Wankdorf, an average of 3.6 goals were scored per game
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and 4 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys recorded 3 wins and Thun 2 wins
Young Boys scored 13 goals, while Thun scored 9 goals
The last encounter on January 25, 2026, ended with a 4:1 victory for Thun
The recent head-to-head record is described as dominant for the home team
Key Players
For Young Boys, Christian Fassnacht is a key midfielder with 15 goals and 7 assists in 27 appearances
Alvyn Sanches contributed 5 goals and 5 assists in 18 appearances
Edimilson Fernandes showed his influence with 2 goals and 5 assists in 19 games
For Thun, Elmin Rastoder is a key attacker with 11 goals and 4 assists in 27 appearances
Leonardo Bertone has scored 9 goals and provided 1 assist in 25 appearances
Kastriot Imeri is an important midfielder with 6 goals and 6 assists in 22 games
Goalkeepers
Marvin Keller is in goal for Young Boys, achieving an average rating of 6.81 and 6 clean sheets this season
For Thun, Niklas Steffen is the goalkeeper, with an average rating of 6.96 and 4 clean sheets in away games
Influences
Young Boys have a home advantage with an average of 2.06 goals scored and only 1.0 goals conceded in home matches
Stadion Wankdorf (Bern) records an average of 3.6 goals per game
In 2 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 4 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals