🇨🇭

Super League

Thun - Grasshopper

03/14/2026, 05:00 PM

5 : 1
Expected Goals
Thun
2.1
Total xG
3.3
Grasshopper
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
THUGRA

Thun

Attack strength (1.2x league average)
+0.27
Standings advantage (pos 1 vs 11, 10 places gap)
+0.10
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
-0.08
Kastriot Imeri not in squad (6 goals, 6 assists)
Marco Bürki not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)

Grasshopper

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.16
Standings disadvantage (pos 11 vs 1, 10 places gap)
-0.14
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.10
Jonathan Asp Jensen not in squad (7 goals, 5 assists)
10% of goal output missing (only 81% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.77
+0.77
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

23%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

45%

No Draw

77%

Both Score

Yes

64%

No

36%

Key Factors
  • Table Dominance: Thun leads the league, while Grasshopper is battling relegation
  • Form Strength: Thun is unbeaten in 5 games, Grasshopper has a poor run
  • Home and Away Record: Thun is strong at home, Grasshopper has a weak away defense (2.25 goals conceded)
Risk Factors
  • Grasshopper concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game
  • Grasshopper's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0) compared to their season average (1.3)
Overview

Thun (1st place, 68 points) host Grasshopper (11th place, 24 points) at the Stockhorn Arena. The Super League match takes place on March 14, 2026, 6:00 PM. Thun are clear favorites and aim to further extend their league lead. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 55%.

Form

Thun shows strong form with WWWDW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) in their last 5 games across all competitions. Their last result was a W. Grasshopper, on the other hand, has poor form with DLWLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) in their last 5 games and lost their last 2 matches consecutively. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Thun scores an average of 2.28 goals per game and concedes 1.10 goals. They kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 21 matches. At home, Thun averages 2.27 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded. Grasshopper averages 1.28 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded per game. They kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 18 matches. Away from home, Grasshopper concedes an average of 2.25 goals. At the Stockhorn Arena, an average of 3.8 goals per game have been scored, and both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games.

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun recorded 2 wins, Grasshopper 0 wins, and there were 3 draws. Thun scored 7 goals, while Grasshopper scored 4 goals. The last encounter on January 18, 2026, ended in a 3:1 victory for Thun. Thun has dominated recent encounters.

Key Players

For Thun, Elmin Rastoder with 11 goals and 4 assists, and Leonardo Bertone with 9 goals and 1 assist are key players. Franz-Ethan Meichtry contributed 8 goals and 3 assists. For Grasshopper, Luke Plange stands out with 9 goals and 3 assists. Other goal scorers include Simone Stroscio with 2 goals and Young-joon Lee with 1 goal and 1 assist. Not nominated for Thun: Kastriot Imeri (6G/6A), Marco Bürki (2G/2A). Not nominated for Grasshopper: Jonathan Asp Jensen (7G/5A).

Goalkeepers

Thun's goalkeeper is Niklas Steffen, who made 29 appearances this season. Thun managed 6 clean sheets. For Grasshopper, Justin Hammel is in goal, also with 29 appearances. Grasshopper achieved 4 clean sheets this season.

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf. Thun has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses with 24:12 goals on artificial turf. Grasshopper has a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 1:1 goals in one game on artificial turf. The Stockhorn Arena is known for an average of 3.8 goals per game.

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.