Super League
Zürich - Thun
03/21/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
3.2
2.0
1:1
11%1:2
10%0:2
8%1:3
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Zürich
Thun
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
20%
Draw
24%
Away Win
56%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
44%
Away or Draw
80%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Key Factors
- League Position and Form: Thun is league leader with positive form (4 wins, 1 draw in 5 games), while Zürich is tenth with negative form (4 losses in 5 games)
- Offensive and Defensive Strength: Thun displays a strong offense (Avg. 2.37 season goals, currently 2.8 goals per game) and solid defense (Avg. 1.1 goals conceded), while Zürich's goal production is stagnating and their defense is vulnerable (Avg. 1.97 goals conceded)
- Head-to-Head Record: Thun has won 3 of the last 5 direct encounters, including the last match on December 20, 2025, with a 4-2 victory
Risk Factors
- Zürich's Tactical Approach: Zürich is counter-oriented with 44% possession and averages only 3.0 shots on target
Overview
Zürich (10th place, 31 points) hosts Thun (1st place, 71 points) at Stadion Letzigrund
Super League match on March 21, 2026, 6:00 PM
League leaders Thun are clear favorites against relegation-threatened Zürich
Form
Zürich's current form across all competitions: WLLLL
This translates to 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses from the last 5 matches
Zürich's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals per game, below the season average of 1.4, indicating a negative trend
Thun's current form across all competitions: WWDWW
This translates to 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses from the last 5 matches
Thun is currently scoring more frequently (2.8 goals per game) than their season average (2.4 goals per game), showing a positive trend
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Zürich averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.97 goals conceded per game this season
Both teams scored in 21 games, and 24 games had over 2.5 goals
At home, Zürich averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.72 goals conceded
Thun displays a strong offense with an average of 2.37 goals scored per game and a solid defense with only 1.1 goals conceded per game
Both teams scored in 22 games, and 24 games had over 2.5 goals
Away from home, Thun averages 2.29 goals scored and concedes just 1.0 goals
The Stadion Letzigrund has seen an average of 3.0 total goals in the last 5 matches
In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored (80% BTTS rate) and there were over 2.5 goals (80% Over 2.5 rate)
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun secured 3 wins, Zürich 1 win, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference in these fixtures is 14:8 in favor of Thun
The last encounter on December 20, 2025, ended in a 4-2 victory for Thun
Key Players
For Zürich, the following starting players are particularly notable:
Philippe Paulin Keny is a key player with 12 goals and 2 assists this season
Damienus Reverson has scored 5 goals and Nelson Palacio has contributed 2 assists
Among Thun's important starting players are:
Elmin Rastoder, who recorded 12 goals and 4 assists this season
Leonardo Bertone with 9 goals and 2 assists, and Franz-Ethan Meichtry with 8 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
In goal for Zürich is Silas Huber, who achieved an average rating of 6.72 in 9 appearances and recorded 2 clean sheets
Thun's goalkeeper Niklas Steffen played in 30 matches with an average rating of 6.94 and managed to keep 6 clean sheets
Influences
Stadion Letzigrund shows a high goal average, with 3.0 goals per game on average
Furthermore, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals in 80% of the last 5 matches