Europa League
Feyenoord - Sturm Graz
01/22/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
0.5
1.0
0.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
30%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Extremely high-scoring statistics at Stadion Feijenoord with an average of 5.2 goals per game
- Feyenoord's strong home attack (avg. 2.5 goals) meets Sturm Graz's stable away defense (avg. 0.75 goals conceded)
- Both teams are in poor form: Feyenoord is winless in five games, Sturm Graz has lost three of their last five
Risk Factors
- Numerous injuries and absences on both sides could significantly impact performance
- Conflicting data: Very low goal predictions contrast with extremely high-scoring venue and season statistics
- The league table situation has limited significance as the data suggests it is more of a ranking
Overview
Feyenoord (30th place, 3 points) hosts Sturm Graz (29th place, 4 points) at Stadion Feijenoord. The Europa League match takes place on January 22, 2026, at 6:45 PM. It's a clash between two teams at the bottom of the table.
Form
Feyenoord: LLDDL (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)
The team is winless in five games, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Sturm Graz: WLWLL
The visitors have secured 2 wins and suffered 3 defeats in their last five matches
Statistics
Feyenoord scores an average of 2.47 goals per game this season and concedes 1.42
Sturm Graz has an average of 1.59 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
At home, Feyenoord is strong offensively (avg. 2.5 goals), while Sturm Graz is convincing defensively away (avg. 0.75 goals conceded)
Recently, games at Stadion Feijenoord have averaged 5.2 goals, with both teams scoring in all matches
Head-to-Head
In 4 previous encounters, Sturm Graz won 2 times, Feyenoord won once, and 1 match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 8:4 in favor of Feyenoord
The last meeting on October 27, 2022, was won by Sturm Graz 1-0
Key Players
Luciano Valente has provided 2 assists in 6 appearances
Ayase Ueda has been directly involved in 5 goals in his last 5 games (4 goals, 1 assist)
Tomi Horvat has 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 matches
Otar Kiteishvili has scored 2 goals in 5 games
Goalkeepers
Feyenoord's goalkeeper Timon Wellenreuther has kept 6 clean sheets in 6 matches this season
Sturm Graz's goalkeeper Oliver Christensen has also kept 6 clean sheets in 5 appearances
Christensen has a slightly higher average rating of 6.95 compared to Wellenreuther's 6.46
Influences
Feyenoord's home advantage is diminished by a poor home record (1 win, 2 draws, 7 losses)
Sturm Graz has been defensively stable away, conceding only 9 goals in 12 games
Statistics at Stadion Feijenoord suggest a very high-scoring game, with an average of 5.2 goals and a 100% rate of both teams scoring
Both teams are accustomed to the natural grass surface