Europa League
Salzburg - Basel
01/22/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.6
1.3
0.7
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
32%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
8%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Salzburg's offensive strength at home with an average of 2.2 goals per game
- Basel's poor away record on natural grass with only 2 wins in 10 games
- The venue, Red Bull Arena, where an average of 4.2 goals were scored in the last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Salzburg's inconsistent form with two losses in the last five games
- Basel has the upper hand in head-to-head duels and has never lost to Salzburg
- Numerous injuries on both sides could affect the expected lineups
Overview
Salzburg (31st place, 3 points) host Basel (26th place, 6 points) at the Red Bull Arena
Europa League match on January 22, 2026, 9:00 PM
It is a duel between two teams from the bottom third of the table
Form
Salzburg's form: LDWLW - 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Basel's form: LDWDD - 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last five matches
Basel has lost only once in the last five games, while Salzburg has suffered two defeats
Statistics
Salzburg scores an average of 2.12 goals per game this season, Basel 1.45
Defensively, Salzburg concedes an average of 1.24 goals, Basel 1.05
In home games, Salzburg has a strong offense with 2.2 goals per game
Basel concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game away
An average of 4.2 goals have been scored in the last 5 games at the Red Bull Arena
Head-to-Head
In 2 previous encounters, Salzburg has not yet managed to win
Basel won once, while one match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 1:2 from Salzburg's perspective
The last head-to-head encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Basel
Key Players
Yorbe Vertessen is an important attacker for Salzburg with 3 goals this season
Edmund Baidoo has been involved in 2 goals in 6 seasonal appearances (1 goal, 1 assist)
For Basel, Xherdan Shaqiri stands out with 3 goals and 3 assists this season
Defender Flavius Daniliuc has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Alexander Schlager is in goal for Salzburg, the team has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Marwin Hitz is the goalkeeper for Basel, whose team has kept a clean sheet 7 times so far
Influences
The Red Bull Arena has recently been the scene of high-scoring games with an average of 4.2 goals per match
Salzburg has a positive home record on natural grass with 5 wins from 10 games
Basel's away record on natural grass is weaker with only 2 wins from 10 games
Salzburg scores an average of 2.2 goals per game at home