Super League
Luzern - Lausanne Sport
03/22/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.4
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Luzern
Lausanne Sport
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
43%
Draw
25%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
57%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
67%
No
33%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Luzern has a higher win probability at 43%, while a draw stands at 25%
- High-scoring encounter expected: The model predicts 1.82 goals for Luzern and 1.54 goals for Lausanne Sport, with a 67% chance for both teams to score
- Strong home offense: Luzern scores an average of 1.88 goals at home, and Sportplatz Chrüzmatt has a high goal average of 4.6 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Luzern's defensive vulnerability: The home team concedes an average of 1.94 goals per home game
- Lausanne Sport's offensive struggles: The team's goal production is stagnant (1.4), compared to the season average of 1.7
- Injury-related absences for Lausanne Sport: N. Butler-Oyedeji, H. Abdallah, and J. Roche are missing
Overview
Luzern (7th place, 36 points) host Lausanne Sport (9th place, 36 points) at Sportplatz Chrüzmatt. The Super League match takes place on March 22, 2026, 4:30 PM. Both teams are tied on points in the table, battling for a better position.
Form
Luzern's form in the last five games (all competitions) is WLLWL, consisting of 2 wins and 3 losses. Their last game resulted in a loss. Lausanne Sport shows a form of LLWWL, also with 2 wins and 3 losses, and a loss in their most recent match. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Luzern has scored an average of 1.93 goals per game this season and conceded 1.87 goals. At home, the average is 1.88 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded. Luzern kept 4 clean sheets. Lausanne Sport averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded. Away, they scored 1.46 goals and conceded 1.77 goals. Lausanne Sport kept 5 clean sheets. At Sportplatz Chrüzmatt, an average of 4.6 total goals were scored per game, and in all 5 matches, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Luzern dominated with 2 wins, while Lausanne Sport remained winless, with 3 matches ending in a draw. The goal difference of 11:4 in favor of Luzern underlines this dominance. The last meeting saw Luzern win away 4-0 on December 21, 2025.
Key Players
For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto is key with 11 goals and 11 assists, Oscar Kabwit with 7 goals and 4 assists, and Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira with 7 goals and 2 assists are important offensive players. For Lausanne Sport, Omar Janneh with 6 goals and 1 assist, Olivier Custodio with 3 goals and 4 assists, and Brandon Soppy with 4 assists are the most notable players.
Goalkeepers
Luzern's goalkeeper, Pascal Loretz, has achieved 4 clean sheets this season. For Lausanne Sport, Karlo Letica has kept 5 clean sheets.
Influences
The home advantage could play a role for Luzern, as the team scores an average of 1.88 goals at home. The grass surface of Sportplatz Chrüzmatt is familiar to both teams. The venue's statistics, with an average of 4.6 goals per game and both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in all 5 matches, indicate a high offensive tendency.