Europa League
VfB Stuttgart - Young Boys
01/29/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.5
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
25%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
74%
Over 3.5
52%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Drastic form disparity: Stuttgart's solid form (3 wins from 5) meets Young Boys' catastrophic 5-game losing streak
- Visitors' defensive vulnerability: Young Boys concede an average of 3.0 goals away, playing into Stuttgart's offensive setup (7.0 shots on target per game)
- Severely depleted squads: Both teams are heavily weakened, with active players accounting for only about 30% of the season's goals, making the outcome unpredictable
Risk Factors
- Critical personnel situation: According to analysis, both teams have only 30-33% of their goal-scoring threat on the pitch, which could massively impact their offensive power
- Potential fatigue: Both teams have had only 4 days of rest since their last match, which, combined with depleted squads, could lead to performance fluctuations
Overview
VfB Stuttgart hosts Young Boys at the MHPArena for a Europa League match on January 29, 2026, at 9:00 PM
In the table, VfB Stuttgart is in 13th place with 12 points, while Young Boys are in 23rd place with 9 points
Both teams are looking to improve their position in the standings, with Stuttgart entering the match as the favorite
Form
VfB Stuttgart: WWDLW - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss
Young Boys: LLLLL - 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses
The form curves show a clear contrast, with Stuttgart in solid form while Young Boys are on a five-game losing streak
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, the teams are comparable over the season, with Stuttgart averaging 1.89 goals per game and Young Boys 1.90
Defensively, Stuttgart is more stable with 1.37 goals conceded per game compared to Young Boys' 2.14
A crucial factor is Young Boys' away weakness, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per away game, while Stuttgart scores an average of 1.86 goals at home
Head-to-Head
In the 3 previous head-to-head encounters, VfB Stuttgart has the upper hand with 2 wins, while Young Boys have won once
The goal difference of 10:5 also favors Stuttgart
The last meeting ended in a dominant 5-1 victory for Stuttgart, giving them a historical advantage
Key Players
Deniz Undav is in rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in his last five games
Jamie Leweling is also showing an upward trend, having scored 3 goals in the last five matches
Chris Führich has also been a key factor in recent games with 1 goal and 1 assist
For Young Boys, Alvyn Sanches stands out with rising form, managing 1 goal and 2 assists in his last five appearances
Goalkeepers
VfB Stuttgart's goalkeeper, Alexander Nübel, has kept 7 clean sheets in 19 matches this season
His counterpart at Young Boys, Marvin Keller, has managed to keep a clean sheet in 4 out of 21 games
Influences
The MHPArena has recently been a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match in the last five fixtures
Both teams have scored in 60% of these games
VfB Stuttgart's home record on natural grass is positive with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Young Boys have a balanced record on this surface with 4 wins and 4 losses