Super League
Lausanne Sport - Winterthur
04/04/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.3
1.1
1:1
10%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
Lausanne Sport
Winterthur
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
60%
Draw
22%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
40%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- High Home Win Probability: Mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Lausanne Sport with 60%
- Offensive Matchup Advantage: The model calculates 2.16 expected home goals for Lausanne Sport compared to 1.10 for Winterthur
- Visitors' Defensive Weakness: Winterthur concedes an average of 3.36 goals per away game, indicating significant vulnerability
Risk Factors
- Limited Offensive Power for Home Team: Lausanne Sport only has 66% of its usual starting XI goal threat available, with key players such as Gaoussou Diakité (6G/6A), Olivier Custodio (3G/4A), Beyatt Lekoueiry (4G/1A), and Brandon Soppy (0G/4A) not in the lineup
- Lausanne Sport's Form: Lausanne Sport's goal production has recently stalled (1.2 goals), while their season average is 1.6 goals
Overview
Lausanne Sport (9th place, 36 points) host Winterthur (12th place, 19 points) at the Stade de la Tuilière. Super League match on April 4, 2026, 6:00 PM. Lausanne Sport aims to consolidate its mid-table position, while Winterthur urgently needs points in the relegation battle
Form
Lausanne Sport's form in their last five matches across all competitions is LWWLL, representing 2 wins and 3 losses. Their last game resulted in a loss, extending a streak of 2 consecutive losses. Winterthur's form in their last five games is LDDWL, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Winterthur also lost their most recent match
Statistics
Lausanne Sport averages 1.45 goals scored per game and concedes 1.71 goals. At home, they score 1.44 goals and concede 1.44 goals per game. The team recorded 5 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 22 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 22 matches. Winterthur averages 1.10 goals scored and concedes an alarming 2.65 goals per game. Away from home, their average is 1.07 goals scored and 3.36 goals conceded. Winterthur has not kept a single clean sheet this season. Both teams scored in 21 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 24 matches. The Stade de la Tuilière sees an average of 3.2 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Sport secured 2 wins and Winterthur had 3 wins. The goal difference in these encounters is 7:6 in favor of Lausanne Sport. The last meeting on January 31, 2026, saw Winterthur win 2-1
Key Players
For Lausanne Sport, attacker Omar Janneh is key with 6 season goals and 1 assist, holding an average rating of 7.09. Theo Bair, also an attacker, has 6 season goals with a 7.03 average rating. Defender Kévin Mouanga contributed 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.01. For Winterthur, attacker Andrin Hunziker stands out with 9 season goals and 4 assists, and an average rating of 6.98. Midfielder Théo Golliard scored 4 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.86. Attacker Nishan Burkart has 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.83
Goalkeepers
Karlo Letica, the goalkeeper for Lausanne Sport, has played in 30 games this season and kept 5 clean sheets. On the opposing side, Stefanos Kapino of Winterthur has played all 31 season games but has not managed to keep a clean sheet in any match
Influences
Lausanne Sport averages 1.44 goals scored at home and concedes 1.44 goals. At the Stade de la Tuilière, an average of 3.2 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches