Super League
Servette - Luzern
04/06/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Servette
Luzern
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Balanced Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a very close match outcome with a 36% home win and a 36% away win probability
- Offensive Trends: Servette shows a positive form development with a recent average of 2.3 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.6
- High Goal Potential: Both teams score many goals and concede regularly, leading to a 59% probability for both teams to score and 54% for over 2.5 goals
Risk Factors
- Defensive Vulnerability: Both teams concede goals frequently, averaging 1.81 goals per game over the season
- Missing Key Players in Lineup (Servette): Lilian Njoh (9 assists) and Jérémy Guillemenot (6 goals) are not in the starting XI, potentially weakening the offense
- Injuries (Luzern): Defender S. Knežević and forward S. Karweina are sidelined due to injury, impacting squad options
Overview
Servette (9th place, 36 points) hosts Luzern (7th place, 39 points) at the Stade de Genève
Super League match on April 6, 2026, 4:30 PM
Both teams are in the mid-table, vying for better positions
Form
Servette's form (DDWLW) shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from their last 5 games
Their last win was a 5-0 against Grasshopper
Luzern's form (LLWLW) includes 2 wins and 3 losses
Their most recent victory was a 4-0 against Lausanne Sport
Statistics
Servette scores an average of 1.71 goals per game and concedes 1.81 goals
Luzern shows a stronger offense with an average of 2.0 goals per game, but also concedes 1.81 goals
Servette kept 5 clean sheets, as did Luzern
At Stade de Genève, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored recently
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Servette dominated with 2 wins compared to 0 for Luzern
3 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference in these encounters is 12:10 in favor of Servette
The last meeting on November 22, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
For Servette, Miroslav Stevanovic, with 10 goals and 5 assists, and Florian Ayé, with 10 goals and 2 assists, are key offensive players
Junior Kadile contributed 4 goals and 3 assists in 6 appearances and shows a rising form trend
For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto stands out with 12 goals and 12 assists and a rising form trend
Oscar Kabwit scored 7 goals and 5 assists
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira contributed 7 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Servette goalkeeper Joël Mall made 27 season appearances and showed a rising form trend in the last 5 games
Servette achieved 5 clean sheets this season
Luzern's goalkeeper Pascal Loretz played in all 31 season matches
Luzern also kept 5 clean sheets
Influences
Servette scores an average of 1.69 goals at home and concedes 1.62 goals
Luzern scores an average of 2.0 goals away and concedes 1.77 goals
The grass pitch at Stade de Genève is the usual surface
In recent matches at Stade de Genève, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored