Super League
Basel - Young Boys
04/04/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.9
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Basel
Young Boys
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Basel's Home Advantage: The home team averaged 1.47 goals scored and conceded only 0.8 goals at home
- Young Boys' Away Weakness: The away team conceded an average of 2.85 goals per away game
- Pipeline Probability: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Basel with a probability of 51%
Risk Factors
- High Goals Conceded for Young Boys: The team concedes an average of 2.85 goals per away game
- Young Boys' Offensive Power: Young Boys averaged 6.2 shots on target in their last 5 games (offensively strong)
Overview
Basel (3rd place, 52 points) host Young Boys (6th place, 46 points) at St. Jakob-Park. This Super League match takes place on April 4, 2026, 8:30 PM. It is an important match in the upper third of the table for both teams
Form
Basel shows strong form in their last five matches with W-W-L-W-W, consisting of 4 wins and 1 loss. Their last win was a 2-0 away victory against Winterthur. Young Boys have a form of W-W-L-W-D across all competitions, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last game ended in a 1-1 home draw against Lugano. Basel has two consecutive wins, while Young Boys recently recorded a draw
Statistics
Basel averages 1.52 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game this season. They kept 9 clean sheets and had 18 matches with over 2.5 goals. At home, they average 1.47 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Young Boys are offensive with 1.97 goals per game, but concede an average of 1.81 goals. They have 7 clean sheets and 23 matches with over 2.5 goals. Away from home, they concede even more, with 2.85 goals per game. St. Jakob-Park has seen an average of 3.4 goals in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 recent head-to-head matches, Young Boys dominated with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Basel and 1 draw. The goal difference is 9:12 in favor of Young Boys. The last encounter on November 2, 2025, ended goalless 0-0. Prior to that, Basel won 4-1 at home on August 6, 2025
Key Players
For Basel, Xherdan Shaqiri (10 goals, 10 assists), Bénie Traoré (8 goals, 1 assist), and Dominik Schmid (3 goals, 5 assists) are starting. Xherdan Shaqiri scored 8 goals and provided 8 assists at St. Jakob-Park. Dominik Schmid contributed 3 goals and 3 assists at St. Jakob-Park. Bénie Traoré scored 4 goals at St. Jakob-Park. For Young Boys, Christian Fassnacht (15 goals, 7 assists), Alvyn Sanches (9 goals, 5 assists), and Edimilson Fernandes (1 goal, 6 assists) are in the starting eleven. Edimilson Fernandes provided 1 assist at St. Jakob-Park. Joël Monteiro scored 1 goal in 3 games at St. Jakob-Park
Goalkeepers
Basel's goalkeeper Marwin Hitz has achieved 9 clean sheets in 29 appearances this season. Young Boys' goalkeeper Marvin Keller has recorded 7 clean sheets in 31 appearances
Influences
Basel has a solid defense at home, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. Young Boys concede an average of 2.85 goals per away game. St. Jakob-Park recorded an average of 3.4 goals in the last 5 matches. In 80% of these games, both teams scored, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals