Super League
St. Gallen - Zürich
04/06/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.7
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
12%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
St. Gallen
Zürich
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
62%
Draw
24%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
38%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Key Factors
- St. Gallen is the favorite for a home win with a 62% probability, according to mathematical analysis, with 1.88 expected home goals
- St. Gallen's home offense (avg 1.88 goals) meets Zürich's weak away defense (avg 2.33 goals conceded)
- St. Gallen is unbeaten in 5 games, while Zürich recorded 4 losses in their last 5 matches
Risk Factors
- Zürich's Away Defense: Zürich concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
- Zürich's Offensive Efficiency: Zürich averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Last Head-to-Head: St. Gallen lost their last home game against Zürich with a score of 1-2
Overview
St. Gallen (2nd place, 56 points) host Zürich (10th place, 34 points) at Kybunpark. Super League match on April 6, 2026, 4:30 PM. The mathematical analysis sees St. Gallen as clear favorites with a 62% home win probability
Form
St. Gallen's form is WDWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team achieved 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 games, with the last match being a 1-1 draw against Sion. Zürich's form is LLLLW with 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses from their last 5 matches, including a 2-1 win against Thun in their last game. St. Gallen's goal production is currently stagnant (1.8 goals), with a season average of 2.1 goals. Zürich's goal production is also stagnant (1.0 goals), with a season average of 1.4 goals
Statistics
St. Gallen averages 1.94 goals scored per game and concedes 1.19 goals per game over the season. Zürich averages 1.42 goals scored and concedes 1.94 goals per match. At home, St. Gallen averages 1.88 goals scored and concedes 1.12 goals. Zürich concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game. Kybunpark records an average of 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and 60% seeing over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 3 times and Zürich won 2 times. St. Gallen scored a total of 9 goals, Zürich 8 goals. The last encounter on December 6, 2025, ended with a 1-2 victory for Zürich. St. Gallen has been dominant at home in overall direct duels
Key Players
For St. Gallen, Lukas Görtler (6 goals, 8 assists, avg 7.33 rating) with stable form, Carlo Boukhalfa (11 goals, 3 assists, avg 6.95 rating) with stable form, and Aliou Baldé (8 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.83 rating) with declining form are notable. Not nominated for St. Gallen: Alessandro Vogt (14G/3A). For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny (12 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.08 rating) with declining form, Ivan Cavaleiro (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.94 rating) with stable form, and Damienus Reverson (6 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.71 rating) with stable form stand out
Goalkeepers
St. Gallen's goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi achieved 8 clean sheets this season. Zürich's goalkeeper Silas Huber kept a clean sheet 2 times
Influences
St. Gallen enjoys a home advantage with an average of 1.88 goals scored at home and 1.12 goals conceded at home. Kybunpark is a stadium with an average of 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and 60% seeing over 2.5 goals. The playing surface is natural grass