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Super League

Luzern - St. Gallen

04/12/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Luzern
2.0
Total xG
3.8
St. Gallen
1.7
Most Likely Scores

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

1:2

7%

3:1

6%

3:2

5%
What influences the xG?
LUZSG

Luzern

Attack strength (1.23x league average)
+0.39
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.06
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira not in squad (7 goals, 3 assists)

St. Gallen

Attack strength (1.25x league average)
+0.36
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.08
Lukas Görtler not in squad (7 goals, 8 assists)
Christian Witzig not in squad (4 goals, 4 assists)
Diego Besio on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Lukas Daschner not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.75
+0.75
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

23%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

73%

Under 2.5

27%

Over 3.5

52%

Under 3.5

48%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

56%

No Draw

77%

Both Score

Yes

73%

No

27%

Key Factors
  • St. Gallen's offense is significantly hampered by key player absences, with only 48.5% of usual assist production available
  • Luzern has a clear historical dominance in head-to-head matches at home with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 encounters
  • The swissporarena guarantees many goals, with an average of 4.6 total goals and over 2.5 goals in all of the last five home games
Risk Factors
  • Luzern shows inconsistent form in their last five matches (LWLWL)
  • Luzern concedes an average of 1.74 goals per game in their home stadium
  • St. Gallen's goal production has recently stalled with an average of 1.8 goals, compared to their season average of 2.1 goals
Overview

Luzern (7th place, 39 points) host St. Gallen (2nd place, 59 points) at the swissporarena. Super League match on April 12, 2026, 4:30 PM. St. Gallen aims to solidify their 2nd place, while Luzern tries to close the gap to the top ranks

Form

Luzern has shown inconsistent form in their last five matches: LWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This includes 2 wins and 3 losses

St. Gallen, however, is in top form and remained unbeaten in their last five matches: DWDDW. This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 draws

Statistics

Luzern averages 1.94 goals scored per game and concedes 1.84 goals per game over the season

At home, they average 1.89 goals scored and 1.74 goals conceded

St. Gallen has a season average of 1.94 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded

Away from home, St. Gallen averages 2.00 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded

At the swissporarena, the last 5 games saw an average of 4.6 total goals per match

In 4 out of 5 of these games, both teams scored, and in all 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern dominated the statistics with 3 wins compared to 0 for St. Gallen and 2 draws

The goal difference in these matches is 9:5 in favour of Luzern

The last encounter ended on February 1, 2026, with a 2:2 draw

Key Players

For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto stands out with 12 goals and 12 assists, showing stable form

Pius Dorn shows rising form with 2 goals in the last 5 matches

Oscar Kabwit has scored 7 goals and provided 5 assists so far

For St. Gallen, Alessandro Vogt is the top scorer with 15 goals and 3 assists, in rising form

Carlo Boukhalfa contributed 11 goals and 3 assists

Chima Okoroji also shows rising form with 2 goals in the last 5 matches

Goalkeepers

Pascal Loretz, Luzern's goalkeeper, has recorded 5 clean sheets in 32 season appearances

Lawrence Ati Zigi, St. Gallen's goalkeeper, has recorded 8 clean sheets in 29 season appearances

Influences

The swissporarena is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.6 goals per match

Luzern scores an average of 1.89 goals and concedes 1.74 goals in their home stadium

St. Gallen shows an offensive performance away from home, with an average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded

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