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Super League

Winterthur - Grasshopper

04/11/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Winterthur
1.8
Total xG
3.3
Grasshopper
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
WINGRA

Winterthur

Defensive weakness (2.6 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.82
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.03
Silvan Sidler on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)
Pajtim Kasami on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
Strong home record (1.5 vs 1.1 goals/match)

Grasshopper

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.19
Declining form (0.6 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.19
Luke Plange not in squad (9 goals, 4 assists)
25% of goal output missing (only 82% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.77
+0.77
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

25%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

67%

No

33%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis slightly favors Winterthur with 43%
  • Grasshopper's Form Crisis: Five consecutive losses indicate a clear period of weakness
  • Defensive Vulnerability: Both teams concede many goals on average this season
Risk Factors
  • Grasshopper's Away Defense: The team concedes an average of 2.85 goals per away game
Overview

Winterthur (12th place, 19 points) host Grasshopper (11th place, 24 points) at Stadion SchĂŒtzenwiese

This Super League match on April 11, 2026, 6:00 PM is a direct duel in the relegation battle for crucial points

Form

Winterthur's form across all competitions is 'DDWLL' (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Their last game resulted in a loss

Grasshopper's form in all competitions is 'LLLLL' (0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses)

Their last game also resulted in a loss

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Statistics

Winterthur averages 1.09 goals scored and 2.63 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 2.06 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 22 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 25 matches

Grasshopper averages 1.19 goals scored and 2.03 goals conceded per game

Away from home, they average 1.23 goals scored and 2.85 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 19 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 18 matches

Stadion SchĂŒtzenwiese has seen an average of 3.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of matches

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur secured 2 wins, Grasshopper 1 win, and there were 2 draws

Winterthur scored 6 goals, while Grasshopper scored 4 goals

The last encounter on November 8, 2025, ended with a 0-1 victory for Grasshopper

Key Players

For Winterthur, Andrin Hunziker (9G/4A), Théo Golliard (4G/4A), and Nishan Burkart (2G/2A) are players with rising form

Not nominated: Silvan Sidler (1G/2A), Pajtim Kasami (2G/0A)

For Grasshopper, Jonathan Asp Jensen (7G/5A), Dirk Abels (1G/1A), and Michael Frey (0G/1A) are to be noted

Not nominated: Luke Plange (9G/4A)

Goalkeepers

Winterthur's goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino has not kept a clean sheet this season

Grasshopper's goalkeeper Justin Hammel has kept 4 clean sheets

Influences

Stadion SchĂŒtzenwiese has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of matches

Winterthur has shown a counter-attacking style recently (40% possession, Ø 5.6 shots on target)

Grasshopper played a balanced game (47% possession, Ø 4.2 shots on target)

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