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Super League

Young Boys - Servette

04/12/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Young Boys
1.6
Total xG
3.0
Servette
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
YBSER

Young Boys

Defensive strength (1.9 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.04
23% of goal output missing (only 92% available)

Servette

Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.34
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.22
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.7 season average)
+0.22
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.75
+0.75
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

27%

Away Win

31%

Goals

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

69%

Away or Draw

59%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Young Boys are favorites for a home win with a 42% probability according to mathematical analysis
  • Young Boys' home strength with an average of 1.94 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded at Stadion Wankdorf
  • Young Boys historically dominated direct duels with 3 wins compared to 0 for Servette in 5 encounters
Risk Factors
  • Servette concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • Young Boys recorded two consecutive draws recently
  • Servette has not achieved a single win against Young Boys in 5 direct encounters
Overview

Young Boys (6th place, 47 points) host Servette (8th place, 39 points) at Stadion Wankdorf in Bern. The Super League match takes place on April 12, 2026, 4:30 PM. Young Boys are in the upper mid-table, while Servette aims to close the gap

Form

Young Boys' form in their last five matches is 'WLWDD', with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last two games ended in draws. Servette's form is 'DWLWW', showing 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings. Servette won their last two matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Young Boys averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.84 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they are stable with an average of 1.94 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded. Servette has a season average of 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded. Away from home, Servette scores 1.73 goals and concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game. At Stadion Wankdorf, the last 5 matches saw an average of 3.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of 5 matches

Head-to-Head

In the 5 direct encounters between these two teams, Young Boys dominated with 3 wins compared to 0 for Servette, with 2 draws. Young Boys scored a total of 10 goals in these matches, while Servette scored 6. The last meeting on November 30, 2025, ended in a 4-4 draw

Key Players

For Young Boys, Alvyn Sanches stands out, contributing 9 goals and 5 assists this season. Edimilson Fernandes has been an important midfielder with 2 goals and 6 assists. Alan Virginius added 4 goals and 7 assists. For Servette, Miroslav Stevanovic is the top scorer with 11 goals and 6 assists. Florian Ayé has scored 10 goals and provided 2 assists this season. Junior Kadile has shown strong recent form with 4 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Goalkeepers

In goal for Young Boys is Marvin Keller, who has contributed 7 clean sheets for his team this season, 6 of which were in home games. Servette will be defended by Jérémy Frick. The team recorded a total of 6 clean sheets this season, with 2 achieved in away games

Influences

Young Boys shows home strength at Stadion Wankdorf, with an average of 1.94 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded in home matches. The stadium's statistics indicate a high-scoring encounter, with an average of 3.6 goals per game, both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 out of 5 matches

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