Serie A
Cremonese - Hellas Verona
01/19/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
0.5
1.0
0.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
35%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
25%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Key Factors
- Cremonese with significantly better form: WWDDD vs DLDDL
- Verona goalkeeper Perilli without Serie A experience - weak point
- Both teams with severe offensive problems under 1 goal/game
Risk Factors
- Relegation battle with high pressure - unpredictable game dynamics
- Both teams historically weak on grass pitch (2-2-6 each)
Overview
Cremonese (15th place, 22 points) host Hellas Verona (20th place, 13 points) at Stadio Giovanni Zini on January 19, 2026, 6:30 PM
Crucial relegation battle - 9-point gap could prove decisive
Cremonese slightly favored due to home advantage and better league position
Form
Cremonese: DLLDL - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses in last 5 games
Hellas Verona: LLDLL - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses
Form trend clearly favors Cremonese with significant improvement
Verona still in crisis without victory in last 5 matches
Statistics
Cremonese: Avg. 1.0 goals scored, Avg. 1.4 conceded - weak offense
Hellas Verona: Avg. 0.85 goals, Avg. 1.7 conceded - even bigger offensive problems
Both teams below league average in chance conversion
Stadio Giovanni Zini: Avg. 3.0 goals/game historically, but current teams defensively minded
Head-to-Head
5 direct encounters: balanced record with 1 win each and 3 draws
Goal statistics 4:5 minimally favor Verona
Last meeting in September 2025 ended goalless 0:0
Historical tendency for tight, low-scoring affairs between both teams
Key Players
Gift Orban (Verona): 6 season goals, 2 goals in last 5 games - in form
Jamie Vardy (Cremonese): 5 season goals, 1 goal and 1 assist recently
Antoine Bernede (Verona): Midfield engine with 1 assist in last 5 matches
Federico Bonazzoli (Cremonese): 5 season goals, 1 assist in last game
Goalkeepers
Emil Audero (Cremonese): Avg. 7.24 rating, 5 clean sheets - strong form
Simone Perilli (Verona): Reserve goalkeeper without Serie A experience
Decisive advantage for Cremonese between the posts
Audero could be match-deciding factor
Influences
Stadio Giovanni Zini: 60% Over 2.5 rate, but both teams weak offensively
Cremonese at home: only 2 wins in 11 home games
Verona away catastrophic: only 7 goals in 8 away games
Grass pitch record negative for both teams (2-2-6 each)