Serie A
Lazio - Como
01/19/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
0.5
1.3
0.8
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
30%
Draw
28%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
25%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
70%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Key Factors
- Como sit six points ahead of Lazio in the table
- Como show much more stable form with 3 wins in 5 games
- Lazio weak attack with only 1.05 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Stadio Olimpico statistically favours higher-scoring games
- Multiple players from both teams with unclear status
Overview
Lazio (9th place, 28 points) host Como (6th place, 34 points) at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on January 19, 2026, 8:45 PM
Como sit six points ahead of Lazio in the table
Form
Lazio: DDLDW - 1 win, 3 losses, 1 draw
Como: WWWDL - 3 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw
Como show much more stable form over the last five games
Statistics
Lazio: Avg. 1.05 goals scored, 0.80 conceded per game
Como: Avg. 1.40 goals scored, 0.80 conceded per game
Lazio at home: Avg. 1.07 scored, 0.64 conceded
Como away: Avg. 1.40 scored, 0.90 conceded
BTTS record: Lazio 4 of 20, Como 8 of 20 games
Head-to-Head
3 direct meetings with balanced record
Como won the last encounter 2:0
Overall record: 1 Como win, 1 Lazio win, 1 draw
Goal tally: 6:4 for Lazio historically
Key Players
Ivan Provedel (Lazio): Avg. 7.24 rating, 10 clean sheets
Danilo Cataldi (Lazio): 2 goals, 2 assists this season
Nico Paz (Como): 6 goals, 6 assists, avg. 7.68 rating
Anastasios Douvikas (Como): 6 goals, good form with 3 goals in 5 games
Goalkeepers
Ivan Provedel (Lazio): 10 clean sheets in 20 appearances
Jean Butez (Como): 9 clean sheets in 20 appearances
Similar clean sheet rate of 45-50% for both goalkeepers
Influences
Stadio Olimpico: Avg. 3.4 goals per game, 60% BTTS rate
Lazio at home: 15:9 goals in 14 games
Como away: 14:9 goals in 10 games
Stadium statistically favours higher-scoring games