Serie A
Juventus - Napoli
01/25/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.2
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
60%
Draw
28%
Away Win
12%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
38%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
88%
Away or Draw
40%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Massive weakening of Napoli: The team is missing injured players responsible for over 41% of their season's goals
- Home strength vs. weakened attack: Juventus's extremely solid home defense (0.62 goals conceded/game) faces a depleted Napoli offense
- Positive form trend for Juventus: The 'Old Lady' has recently been scoring significantly more with 2.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.8
Risk Factors
- Historical advantage for Napoli: The visitors have won 3 of the last 5 direct encounters and might have a psychological edge
- Potential fatigue for Juventus: With only 4 days since their last match, recovery could be a factor
Overview
A Serie A classic is on the schedule as Juventus (6th place, 39 points) hosts Napoli (3rd place, 43 points) at the Allianz Stadium
The match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 6:00 PM
Both teams are fighting for crucial points for European spots, with Napoli entering the match with a slight lead
Form
Juventus Form: DWWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Napoli Form: DDDWD (1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses)
Juventus appears in better form with more wins, while Napoli is hard to beat but has also been winless in four of their last five games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Offensively, both teams are very balanced with an average of 1.52 goals for Juventus and 1.48 for Napoli per game
Defensively, both teams concede only 0.81 goals per game
Juventus is particularly strong at home, conceding an average of just 0.62 goals
Napoli, on the other hand, scores slightly more away from home with 1.56 goals per game than their season average
An average of 2.8 goals are scored per game at the Allianz Stadium
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, Napoli has the upper hand with 3 wins, while Juventus won only once, and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 6:4 in favor of Napoli
Napoli also won the last meeting 2-1 and is considered historically dominant
Key Players
Kenan Yıldız is a key offensive player for Juventus with 7 goals this season
Jonathan David is showing rising form with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last five games
For Napoli, Scott McTominay is the man of the hour with 5 season goals and a sharply rising form
Rasmus Højlund has scored 6 goals this season, but his form is declining
Goalkeepers
Michele Di Gregorio is in goal for Juventus and has kept 8 clean sheets this season
For Napoli, Vanja Milinković-Savić is the goalkeeper; his team has a total of 9 clean sheets
Influences
Juventus has a strong home record with 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses on natural grass
The team averages 1.54 goals scored and concedes only 0.62 goals at home
Napoli has an away record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses on natural grass
The Allianz Stadium's statistic shows a tendency for lower-scoring games with a 40% rate for 'Both teams to score'