Serie A
Sassuolo - Cremonese
01/25/2026, 11:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.3
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
34%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
21%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Both teams are in a severe form crisis, winless in their last five games, suggesting a tight match with few goals
- Sassuolo's attack is significantly weakened, as their recent goal output (0.4 goals/game) is far below their season average (1.1)
- Numerous injuries on both sides, especially in Sassuolo's midfield, could significantly disrupt the flow and quality of the game
Risk Factors
- The head-to-head record suggests high-scoring games (17 goals in 5 matches), which contradicts the current poor offensive form of both teams
- The high number of injured key players on both sides makes tactical setups and individual performances difficult to predict
- Although both teams are defensively vulnerable (average of 1.33 goals conceded), their low offensive power could lead to the weaknesses canceling each other out
Overview
Sassuolo (15th place, 23 points) host Cremonese (14th place, 23 points) at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Serie A match on January 25, 2026, 12:30 PM
This is a direct relegation battle as both teams are level on points
Form
Sassuolo: DDLLL - 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
Cremonese: LLDLD - 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
Both teams are winless in their last five matches and are in a form crisis
Statistics
Sassuolo scores an average of 1.1 goals per game and concedes 1.33
Cremonese averages 0.95 goals scored and also concedes 1.33 goals per game
Sassuolo's home defense is vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals per game, while Cremonese's away defense allows an average of 1.67 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese leads with 2 wins to Sassuolo's 1, with 2 draws
The goal difference is 10:7 in favour of Cremonese
The last encounter was a 3-2 victory for Cremonese
Key Players
Andrea Pinamonti has scored 4 goals this season for Sassuolo, but his form is declining
Armand Laurienté has contributed 3 goals and 3 assists and is showing rising form
Federico Bonazzoli is Cremonese's top scorer with 5 goals and 2 assists
Jamie Vardy has also contributed 5 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Sassuolo's goalkeeper Arijanet Murić has kept 4 clean sheets in 20 appearances
Emil Audero of Cremonese has made 17 appearances and has been part of 6 clean sheets for his team
Influences
The MAPEI Stadium sees an average of 2.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches
Sassuolo's home record on grass is poor with only one win in ten games (1W-4D-5L)
Cremonese also struggles away from home on grass, winning only two of ten matches (2W-3D-5L)