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Serie A
Bologna - AC Milan
02/03/2026, 07:45 PM
0 : 3
Expected Goals
Bologna
1.6
Total xG
3.3
AC Milan
1.7
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
28%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- AC Milan's defense (0.77 goals conceded/game) is significantly stronger than Bologna's (1.23)
- Bologna's attack shows a positive trend, currently scoring 2.2 goals, which is higher than their season average of 1.7
- AC Milan is unbeaten in their last 5 games (DDWWD), while Bologna has inconsistent form (WLDLW)
Risk Factors
- AC Milan's goal production has recently decreased (1.4 goals average in recent games vs. 1.7 season average)
- Bologna has to play without their starting goalkeeper Łukasz Skorupski, which represents a defensive weakening
- The head-to-head record is completely balanced with 2 wins each and one draw, suggesting an unpredictable match
Overview
Bologna (10th place, 30 points) hosts AC Milan (2nd place, 47 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Form
Bologna form: WLDLW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Statistics
AC Milan has a slightly stronger attack with an average of 1.59 goals per game compared to Bologna's 1.45
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Bologna, 2 wins for AC Milan, and 1 draw
Key Players
Riccardo Orsolini is a key player for Bologna with 7 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Bologna's starting goalkeeper, Łukasz Skorupski, is suspended
Influences
The last 5 matches at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara averaged 2.4 total goals