Serie A
Parma - Juventus
02/01/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
0.8
2.8
2.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
10%
Draw
22%
Away Win
68%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
32%
Away or Draw
90%
No Draw
78%
Both Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Key Factors
- Offensive weakness vs. efficiency: Parma's attack, which recently averaged only 0.7 goals per game, faces a Juventus team that has increased its scoring rate to 2.5 per game
- Clear form advantage: Juventus is on a positive trend, while Parma shows a negative form curve, significantly influencing the starting position
- Historical dominance: The head-to-head record with 3 wins from 5 matches and a goal difference of 11:4 clearly favors Juventus
Risk Factors
- Low-scoring venue: The Stadio Ennio Tardini has been extremely low-scoring recently (1.2 goals on average), which could hinder the expected flow of the game
- Potential fatigue: Juventus has had only 4 days of rest since their last match, which could be a factor in their performance
Overview
Parma, in 15th place with 23 points, hosts Juventus, 5th with 42 points, at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
The Serie A match takes place on February 1, 2026, at 8:45 PM
Juventus enters the match as the clear favorite, aiming to stay close to the top spots, while Parma seeks crucial points in the relegation battle
Form
Parma: LWDDL - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last five games
Juventus: WLWWD - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in the last five games
Juventus shows a significantly stronger form curve
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Juventus is clearly superior with an average of 1.59 goals per game compared to Parma's 0.64 goals
Defensively, Juventus is also more solid, conceding an average of only 0.77 goals, while Parma concedes 1.18 goals per game
Parma's offensive weakness is notable, as they have failed to score in 12 of their 22 league matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, Juventus has dominated with 3 wins, while Parma has won only once, and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Juventus at 11:4
Juventus won the last meeting away with a score of 2:0
Key Players
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino is the top scorer with 6 goals this season
Midfielder Adrián Bernabé has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist
For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız is the standout player in attack with 8 goals and 4 assists
Jonathan David has also provided 4 goals and 3 assists
Weston McKennie is showing rising form with 2 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Edoardo Corvi is in goal for Parma
The team has kept 7 clean sheets this season
For Juventus, Michele Di Gregorio is the number one in goal
The Juventus team has kept a clean sheet 9 times this season
Influences
The Stadio Ennio Tardini has recently been a very low-scoring venue, with an average of just 1.2 goals in the last five games, and both teams failed to score in all of them
Juventus has an excellent record on natural grass with 7 wins in 10 matches
Parma, on the other hand, has a negative record on the same surface with only 3 wins in 10 games