Serie A
Udinese - Roma
02/02/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.4
1.2
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
34%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
28%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Defensive advantage for Roma: Roma's defense (0.59 goals conceded/game) is one of the best in the league, while Udinese concedes 1.6 goals per game at home
- Historical dominance: Roma has won all of the last five head-to-head matches, giving them a significant psychological advantage
- Tactical superiority: Roma is significantly more dangerous and controls games better with an average of 5 shots on target per game, compared to Udinese's 2.8
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Roma: Roma has had only 4 days of rest since their last match, whereas Udinese had 7 days to recover
- Udinese's improved offense: Udinese has been scoring more goals recently (1.4 per game) than their season average (1.16), making them more unpredictable
Overview
Udinese (11th place, 29 points) host Roma (5th place, 43 points) at the Dacia Arena
The Serie A match takes place on February 2, 2026, at 8:45 PM
Roma is looking to solidify its position in the top 5, while Udinese is comfortably in the mid-table
Form
Udinese: LWDLW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in the last five games
Roma: LWWDD - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the last five games
Roma shows slightly more stable form, being unbeaten in their last four matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Roma is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.23 goals per game compared to Udinese's 1.14
The biggest difference is in defense: Roma concedes only 0.59 goals per game, while Udinese concedes 1.55
Roma has kept a clean sheet in 10 of 22 league games this season, Udinese in only 4
Away from home, Roma scores an average of 1.18 goals and concedes 0.64, while Udinese scores 1.1 goals and concedes 1.6 at home
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Roma has a perfect record, winning all 5 matches
The goal difference of 12:3 also clearly favors Roma
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Roma
The historical record shows a clear dominance by the visiting team
Key Players
For Udinese, Keinan Davis (7 season goals, 3 assists) and Nicolò Zaniolo (5 goals, 2 assists) are crucial for the offense
For Roma, Matías Soulé (6 goals, 4 assists) and Lorenzo Pellegrini (3 goals) are the key players in attack
Pulo Dybala has also contributed with 2 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Roma's goalkeeper Mile Svilar has kept 10 clean sheets in 22 matches this season
Udinese's Maduka Okoye has featured in 14 matches, with the team keeping a total of 4 clean sheets
Influences
The Dacia Arena promises goals, with an average of 2.2 goals and a 60% rate for 'Both teams to score' in the last five games
Udinese's home record on grass is negative with 3 wins and 5 losses
Roma, on the other hand, has a positive away record on grass with 5 wins and only 3 losses