Serie A
Torino - Lecce
02/01/2026, 11:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.1
0.9
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
34%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
18%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Clash of weaknesses: Torino's vulnerable home defense (1.67 goals conceded per game) meets Lecce's toothless away attack (0.6 goals per game)
- Deep form crisis for both teams: Torino with four losses in five games and Lecce winless in five suggests a hard-fought but low-quality match
- Two counter-attacking teams with low shooting accuracy face off (Torino 3.4 shots on target, Lecce 1.0), suggesting a low-scoring game
Risk Factors
- Injury concerns for Torino: The absence of several players, including key attacker G. Simeone (5 season goals), could weaken the offense despite a high active goal share
- Unpredictability: The clash of two out-of-form teams can lead to an unpredictable match flow, where individual errors could be decisive
Overview
Torino, in 13th place in the table with 23 points, hosts Lecce, who are in 17th place with 18 points, at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The Serie A match will take place on February 1, 2026, at 12:30 PM. This is a clash in the lower third of the table, where both teams are looking for crucial points in the fight against relegation.
Form
Both teams are in a crisis of form. Torino's form is LDWLL, which corresponds to one win and four losses in their last five games. Lecce has a form of DLLLD and is without a win in five matches, with one draw and four losses. Both teams therefore go into the match with little confidence. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Statistically, Torino has a slightly better offense, with an average of 0.95 goals scored per game compared to Lecce's 0.59. Defensively, Lecce is slightly more stable with 1.32 goals conceded per game than Torino with 1.82. Torino is particularly vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.67 goals. Lecce, on the other hand, is weak away, scoring only 0.6 goals per game. Torino has kept a clean sheet in 8 of 22 games, Lecce in 7.
Head-to-Head
The record of the last five direct duels is completely balanced. Torino and Lecce have each won two games, with one draw. The goal difference is narrowly in favor of Torino at 4-3. The last encounter was won by Lecce 2-1. Overall, there has been no clear favorite in recent meetings.
Key Players
For Torino, Nikola Vlašić with 5 season goals and 2 assists, and Ché Adams with 3 goals and one assist, are key offensive players. For Lecce, Lassana Coulibaly and Nikola Stulic, who has scored 2 goals this season, are ones to watch. Medon Berisha, who has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists, is also a crucial player for the visitors.
Goalkeepers
In goal for Torino is Alberto Paleari. His team has kept a clean sheet in 8 matches this season. For Lecce, Wladimiro Falcone is the number one. Lecce has not conceded a goal in 7 games of the season.
Influences
Matches at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino have recently been high-scoring, with an average of 2.8 goals per game. In 60% of the last five matches there, both teams scored. Both teams have a negative record on natural grass, with Torino losing 6 of 10 games, and Lecce also losing 6 of 10.