Serie A
Pisa - Sassuolo
01/31/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.4
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
31%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
18%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Pisa's offense shows a positive trend, currently scoring more (1.2 goals/game) than their season average (0.9)
- Sassuolo's offense has significantly declined recently, scoring only 0.4 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.1
- Pisa's home weakness is glaring, with an average of 5.5 goals conceded per game in their own stadium
Risk Factors
- Pisa's catastrophic home defense could open up the game despite Sassuolo's offensive struggles
- Sassuolo's current lack of goal-scoring threat might prevent them from exploiting Pisa's defensive issues
- Both teams have a poor record on natural grass, suggesting an unpredictable match
Overview
Pisa (19th place, 14 points) hosts Sassuolo (11th place, 26 points) at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
The Serie A match takes place on January 31, 2026, at 3:00 PM
The home team is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while Sassuolo is in the mid-table
Form
Pisa form: DLDDL
In the last 5 games, there have been 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
Sassuolo form: DLLLW
In the last 5 games, there has been 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Sassuolo won their last match, while Pisa lost theirs
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Sassuolo has the edge with an average of 1.09 goals per game, compared to Pisa's 0.82 goals
Defensively, Pisa concedes an average of 1.68 goals per game, while Sassuolo concedes 1.27
Pisa's home weakness is particularly striking, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and a catastrophic 5.5 goals conceded per home game
Sassuolo averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded away from home
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head encounters, Pisa won 1 time, Sassuolo won 2 times, and 2 matches ended in a draw
The total goal difference is 6:7 from Pisa's perspective
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
Stefano Moreo is a key player for Pisa with 5 goals this season, and his form is on the rise
Matteo Tramoni, also in ascending form, has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists
For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi is the decisive player with 4 goals and 3 assists
Armand Laurienté also has 3 goals and 3 assists to his name
Goalkeepers
Simone Scuffet will be in goal for Pisa
The team has kept 4 clean sheets this season
For Sassuolo, Arijanet Murić is the goalkeeper
Sassuolo has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
Matches at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani tend to be low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals per game
The probability of both teams scoring has been only 20%
Pisa has not yet won a match on a grass surface (0 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses)
Sassuolo has won 2 of their 10 matches on this surface