Serie A
Como - Atalanta
02/01/2026, 02:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.2
1.6
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
34%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
40%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Como's home advantage: With 1.67 goals per home game and a strong defense, Como is a fortress at home
- Como's offensive trend: The team has been scoring much more frequently recently (2.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.68)
- Tactical superiority: Como dominates games with high possession (62%) and consistently creates danger with 6.6 shots on target per game
Risk Factors
- Key absence: Como has to cope without its top scorer Anastasios Douvikas, which could weaken their attack
- Balanced encounters: Previous matches have been extremely close with no clear favorite, making the game hard to predict
- Potential fatigue for Atalanta: Atalanta has one day less rest than Como, which could become a factor during the match
Overview
Como, in 6th place with 40 points, hosts Atalanta, 7th with 35 points, at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
The Serie A match takes place on February 1, 2026, at 3:00 PM
This is a direct duel between two teams close in the standings, fighting for European spots
Form
Como (Form: DLWWW) has won three of its last five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Atalanta (Form: WDLWL) comes with a more mixed record of two wins and two losses from their last five games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Como is on a positive trend with three consecutive victories
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Como has been offensively stronger this season, averaging 1.68 goals per game compared to Atalanta's 1.36
Defensively, Como is also more stable, conceding only 0.73 goals per game on average, while Atalanta concedes 0.91
Como is particularly dominant at home, scoring 1.67 and conceding just 0.58 goals per game
Atalanta is more vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.22 goals
Head-to-Head
The historical record between the two teams is perfectly balanced
In the 3 previous head-to-head encounters, there has been one win for Como, one win for Atalanta, and one draw
The goal difference is also even at 5:5
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
Key Players
Nico Paz is the pivotal player for Como with 8 goals and 6 assists
Anastasios Douvikas has also scored 8 goals this season
Martin Baturina is in outstanding form, contributing 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 4 games
For Atalanta, Nikola Krstović (6 season goals, 4 assists) and Gianluca Scamacca (6 goals) are the main goalscorers
Charles De Ketelaere provides important creativity from midfield
Goalkeepers
Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez has kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches
Atalanta's Marco Carnesecchi has managed 8 clean sheets in 22 games this season
Statistically, Butez has the better record this season
Influences
Como is very strong at home, averaging 1.67 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.58
Matches at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia have recently been entertaining, with an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams have a positive record on natural grass, which means no clear advantage for either side