Serie A
Atalanta - Cremonese
02/09/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.9
1.1
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
38%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Quality gap: Atalanta with significantly stronger offense (1.3 vs 0.87 goals) and more stable defense
- Form difference: Atalanta unbeaten in last 3 games, Cremonese winless for 5 games
- Home advantage: Atalanta very strong at home (1.29 goals, only 0.64 goals conceded per game)
Risk Factors
- Suspensions weaken Atalanta: De Roon and Ahanor missing in midfield and defense
- Cremonese shows character: Despite poor record, two draws in recent games
Overview
Atalanta (7th place, 36 points) host Cremonese (15th place, 23 points) at the Gewiss Stadium. Serie A match on February 9, 2026, 6:30 PM. The hosts aim to maintain contact with the upper table positions
Form
Atalanta: LWLDW - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. Last result: Victory against Juventus (3:0). Stable trend with 3 unbeaten games recently. Cremonese: DLDLL - 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses. Winless for 5 games but somewhat stable with two recent draws
Statistics
Offensive: Atalanta superior with avg. 1.3 goals (home 1.29), Cremonese only avg. 0.87 goals (away 0.9). Defensive: Atalanta more stable with avg. 0.87 goals conceded (home 0.64), Cremonese vulnerable with avg. 1.35 goals conceded (away 1.6). Atalanta 9 clean sheets, Cremonese 6. Both teams scored in 11 of 23 Atalanta games
Head-to-Head
5 direct encounters: Atalanta dominates with 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses for Cremonese. Goal statistics 10:3 in favor of the hosts. Last meeting: 1:1 draw in October 2025
Key Players
Gianluca Scamacca (6 season goals), Nikola Krstović (6 goals, 4 assists), Charles De Ketelaere (3 goals, 3 assists). Federico Bonazzoli and Jamie Vardy lead Cremonese's offense with 5 season goals each, Jari Vandeputte provided 4 assists
Goalkeepers
Marco Carnesecchi (23 games, 9 clean sheets) vs Emil Audero (19 games, 6 clean sheets). Carnesecchi has the better record and was recently in strong form
Influences
Home advantage for Atalanta: 1.29 home goals vs 0.64 goals conceded per game. Gewiss Stadium: avg. 3.0 goals per game, 20% BTTS rate, 60% Over 2.5 rate. Grass surface favors Atalanta (5-2-3 record) over Cremonese (1-3-6)