Serie A
Sassuolo - Inter
02/08/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.5
1.6
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
17%
Draw
27%
Away Win
56%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
22%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
44%
Away or Draw
83%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Difference in class: The league leaders Inter face a mid-table team, a gap reflected in all statistics
- Offensive dominance: Inter's attack scores on average more than one goal per game more than Sassuolo (2.26 vs. 1.17)
- Strong form: Inter arrives with four consecutive wins, while Sassuolo has inconsistent form
Risk Factors
- Inter's absences: The visitors are missing key players like Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Nicolò Barella, which could affect their offensive power (only 62% available)
- Potential fatigue for Inter: Inter has had only 4 days of rest since their last match, whereas Sassuolo had 8 days to recover
- Sassuolo's home strength against Inter: Sassuolo has proven in the recent past that they can beat Inter at home, as shown by their victory in May 2024
Overview
Sassuolo, in 11th place with 29 points, hosts league leaders Inter, who have 55 points, at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. The Serie A match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 6:00 PM. Inter will be looking to consolidate their lead at the top, while Sassuolo aims to secure their mid-table position.
Form
Sassuolo: LLLWW - 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses
Inter: LWWWW - 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss
Sassuolo has recovered from a three-game losing streak with two consecutive wins. Inter is in excellent form, having won their last four matches in a row.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Inter boasts a clearly superior attack, averaging 2.26 goals per game compared to Sassuolo's 1.17. Defensively, Inter is also stronger, conceding only 0.83 goals per game, while Sassuolo allows an average of 1.26. Inter is particularly dangerous away from home, scoring 2.38 goals per game. Inter has kept 12 clean sheets this season, whereas Sassuolo has managed 5.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Sassuolo and 3 for Inter. The goal difference is 7:9 from Sassuolo's perspective. The last meeting was won by Inter 2-1, suggesting a slight recent dominance.
Key Players
Domenico Berardi is a key player for Sassuolo with 5 season goals and 3 assists. Andrea Pinamonti has scored 4 goals, but his form is declining. For Inter, Lautaro Martínez is the standout attacker with 13 season goals. Federico Dimarco is also impressive with 5 goals and 9 assists and is in rising form.
Goalkeepers
Arijanet Murić is in goal for Sassuolo and has kept 5 clean sheets in 22 appearances. His counterpart, Yann Sommer of Inter, has kept an impressive 12 clean sheets in 21 matches, highlighting Inter's defensive stability.
Influences
Inter has a strong away record on natural grass with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Sassuolo's home record on the same surface is negative with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. The average number of goals at the MAPEI Stadium is just 2.2 per game, suggesting potentially low-scoring matches, with both teams scoring in only 40% of games.